Under-20s World Cup | Round of 16

Jun 1, 2023 at 6.30pm UK

Estadio Único Madre de Ciudades

Gambia U20s
0 - 1
Uruguay U20s

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Under-20 World Cup clash between Gambia Under-20s and Uruguay Under-20s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gambia Under-20s

Last Game: South Korea U20s 0-0 Gambia U20s
Sunday, May 28 at 10pm in Under-20 World Cup

Uruguay Under-20s

Last Game: Tunisia U20s 0-1 Uruguay U20s
Sunday, May 28 at 7pm in Under-20 World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay Under-20s win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Gambia Under-20s had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay Under-20s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Gambia Under-20s win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Uruguay Under-20s would win this match.

Result
Gambia Under-20s	Draw	Uruguay Under-20s
35.02% ( -0.54)	24.98% ( 0.28)	40.01% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 57.62% (

-1.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.25% (

-1.35)

45.75% (

1.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.93% (

-1.3)

68.07% (

1.3)

Gambia Under-20s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.58% (

-0.94)

25.42% (

0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.77% (

-1.3)

60.24% (

1.31)

Uruguay Under-20s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.26% (

-0.45)

22.75% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.57% (

-0.68)

56.43% (

0.68)

Score Analysis

Gambia Under-20s 35.02%

Uruguay Under-20s 40.01%

Draw 24.97%

Gambia Under-20s	Draw	Uruguay Under-20s
2-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.02%	1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.33) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.97%	1-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.37) 0-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.25% Total : 40.01%