Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-19s win with a probability of 85.34%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Northern Ireland Under-19s had a probability of 4.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-19s win was 0-3 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.09%) and 0-4 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.8%), while for a Northern Ireland Under-19s win it was 1-0 (1.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Italy Under-19s in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Italy Under-19s.

Result
Northern Ireland Under-19s	Draw	Italy Under-19s
4.55% ( 0.73)	10.11% ( 0.21)	85.34% ( -0.94)

Both teams to score 43.11% (

5.84)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.49% (

3.53)

29.51% (

-3.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.4% (

4.17)

50.6% (

-4.16)

Northern Ireland Under-19s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.28% (

5.95)

54.72% (

-5.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.28% (

3.27)

87.71% (

-3.27)

Italy Under-19s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.22% (

0.46)

4.78% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

80.68% (

1.37)

19.32% (

-1.37)

Score Analysis

Northern Ireland Under-19s 4.55%

Italy Under-19s 85.32%

Draw 10.11%

Northern Ireland Under-19s	Draw	Italy Under-19s
1-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.28) Other @ 1.53% Total : 4.55%	1-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.56) 2-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.47) Other @ 0.5% Total : 10.11%	0-3 @ 12.25% ( -1.33) 0-2 @ 12.09% ( -1.72) 0-4 @ 9.32% ( -0.69) 0-1 @ 7.96% ( -1.42) 1-3 @ 7.39% ( 0.6) 1-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.38) 0-5 @ 5.67% ( -0.24) 1-4 @ 5.62% ( 0.61) 1-5 @ 3.42% ( 0.46) 0-6 @ 2.87% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.53) 1-6 @ 1.73% ( 0.28) 2-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.44) 0-7 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) 2-5 @ 1.03% ( 0.29) Other @ 3.53% Total : 85.32%