European Under-19s Championship | Final
Jul 16, 2023 at 8pm UK
Ta'Qali National Stadium

Portugal U19s
0 - 1
Italy U19s

FT(HT: 0-1)
Olabode Kayode (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's European Under-19s Championship final between Portugal Under-19s and Italy Under-19s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugal Under-19s

All competitions
Last Game: Portugal U19s 5-0 Norway U19s
Thursday, July 13 at 5pm in European Under-19s Championship

Italy Under-19s

All competitions
European Under-19s Championship
Last Game: Spain U19s 2-3 Italy U19s
Thursday, July 13 at 8pm in European Under-19s Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal Under-19s win with a probability of 62.85%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Italy Under-19s had a probability of 16.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal Under-19s win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Italy Under-19s win it was 1-2 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Portugal Under-19sDrawItaly Under-19s
62.85%20.19%16.95%
Both teams to score 55.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.91%40.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.54%62.45%
Portugal Under-19s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.82%12.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.18%37.82%
Italy Under-19s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.05%36.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.26%73.73%
Score Analysis
    Portugal Under-19s 62.85%
    Italy Under-19s 16.95%
    Draw 20.19%
Portugal Under-19sDrawItaly Under-19s
2-0 @ 9.97%
2-1 @ 9.93%
1-0 @ 9.47%
3-0 @ 7%
3-1 @ 6.97%
4-0 @ 3.69%
4-1 @ 3.67%
3-2 @ 3.47%
4-2 @ 1.83%
5-0 @ 1.55%
5-1 @ 1.55%
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 62.85%
1-1 @ 9.43%
2-2 @ 4.94%
0-0 @ 4.5%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.19%
1-2 @ 4.7%
0-1 @ 4.48%
0-2 @ 2.23%
2-3 @ 1.64%
1-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 16.95%

How you voted: Winner SF1 vs Winner SF2

Winner Semi-final 1
86.4%
Draw
13.6%
Winner Semi-final 2
0.0%
22
Head to Head
Jul 6, 2023 5pm
Group Stage
Portugal U19s
5-1
Italy U19s
Ribeiro (35'), Sa (57'), Bras (68'), Felix (88'), Vasconcelos (90+1')
Ribeiro (42'), Justo (45+4')
Lipani (6')
Lipani (8'), Koleosho (72'), Ndour (76'), D'Andrea (90+4')
Lipani (44')
Oct 14, 2019 3pm
International Friendlies
Portugal U19s
1-0
Italy U19s
Oct 11, 2019 3.30pm
International Friendlies
Portugal U19s
4-1
Italy U19s
Silva (2', 10', 44'), Embalo (27')
Salcedo (46')
Sep 10, 2018 4pm
International Friendlies
Italy U19s
3-1
Portugal U19s
Riccardi (16'), Piccoli (76'), Fagioli (80' pen.)
Lopes (30')
Jul 29, 2018 5.30pm
Final
Italy U19s
3-4
Portugal U19s
Scamacca (107'), Kean (75', 76')
Zaniolo (67'), Kean (76'), Cerofolini (76'), Zanandrea (79'), Tonali (90'), Pinamonti (109'), Frattesi (115')
Jota (45', 107'), Trincao (72'), Correia (109')
Gomes (71'), Benjamin (72'), Jota (105'), Santos (115')