European Under-19s Championship | Group Stage

Jul 9, 2023 at 5pm UK

Ta'Qali National Stadium

Italy U19s
1 - 1
Poland U19s

Hasa (34')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Strzalek (8')

Coverage of the European Under-19s Championship Group Stage clash between Italy Under-19s and Poland Under-19s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Italy Under-19s

All competitions

European Under-19s Championship

Last Game: Portugal U19s 5-1 Italy U19s
Thursday, July 6 at 5pm in European Under-19s Championship

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal Under-19s	2	6	6
2	Italy Under-19s	2	0	3
3	Poland Under-19s	2	0	3
4	Malta Under-19s	2	-6	0

Poland Under-19s

All competitions

Last Game: Malta U19s 0-2 Poland U19s
Thursday, July 6 at 8.15pm in European Under-19s Championship

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal Under-19s	2	6	6
2	Italy Under-19s	2	0	3
3	Poland Under-19s	2	0	3
4	Malta Under-19s	2	-6	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland Under-19s win with a probability of 62.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Italy Under-19s had a probability of 17.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland Under-19s win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Italy Under-19s win it was 2-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Italy Under-19s	Draw	Poland Under-19s
17.07% ( -25.45)	20.34% ( -3.45)	62.58% ( 28.89)

Both teams to score 55.1% (

-6.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.42% (

-0.12)

40.58% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.04% (

-0.12)

62.96% (

0.12)

Italy Under-19s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.9% (

-17.78)

37.1% (

17.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.11% (

-22.8)

73.88% (

22.8)

Poland Under-19s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.6% (

11.28)

12.4% (

-11.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.71% (

19.51)

38.29% (

-19.51)

Score Analysis

Italy Under-19s 17.07%

Poland Under-19s 62.58%

Draw 20.34%

Italy Under-19s	Draw	Poland Under-19s
2-1 @ 4.72% ( -4.19) 1-0 @ 4.56% ( -2.96) 2-0 @ 2.26% ( -3.92) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -1.89) 3-1 @ 1.56% ( -3.32) Other @ 2.34% Total : 17.07%	1-1 @ 9.52% ( -1.31) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -1.49) 0-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.55) Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.34%	0-2 @ 10.02% ( 5.27) 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 2.14) 0-1 @ 9.6% ( 3.01) 0-3 @ 6.97% ( 4.7) 1-3 @ 6.92% ( 3.17) 0-4 @ 3.64% ( 2.82) 1-4 @ 3.61% ( 2.26) 2-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.35) 2-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.68) 0-5 @ 1.52% ( 1.28) 1-5 @ 1.51% ( 1.12) Other @ 3.64% Total : 62.58%