Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland Under-19s win with a probability of 62.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Italy Under-19s had a probability of 17.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Poland Under-19s win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Italy Under-19s win it was 2-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.