England U19s2 - 1Italy U19s
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, June 25 at 7pm in European Under-19s Championship
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ukraine Under-19s | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | France Under-19s | 3 | 9 | 6 |
| 3 | England Under-19s | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 4 | Turkey Under-19s | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Friday, June 24 at 4.30pm in European Under-19s Championship
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Italy Under-19s | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Portugal Under-19s | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Norway Under-19s | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Finland Under-19s | 3 | -5 | 0 |
We said: England Under-19s 2-1 Italy Under-19s (after extra time)
With momentum, greater club experience and more squad depth in their favour, England should force their way through to the final. However, Italy are a tough prospect when at full strength, and it may take 120 minutes for the Young Lions to get the job done. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Under-19s win with a probability of 50.52%. A win for Italy Under-19s had a probability of 26.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a England Under-19s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Italy Under-19s win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for England Under-19s in this match.
| Result | ||
| England Under-19s | Draw | Italy Under-19s |
50.52% ( -0.01) | 22.53% ( -0.01) | 26.95% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.97% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
