Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Under-19s win with a probability of 50.52%. A win for Italy Under-19s had a probability of 26.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a England Under-19s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Italy Under-19s win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for England Under-19s in this match.