European Under-19s Championship | Semi-Finals

Jun 28, 2022 at 4pm UK

Národné tréningové centrum SFZ

England U19s
2 - 1
Italy U19s

Scott (58'), Quansah (82')
Iroegbunam (3'), Devine (84'), Scott (90+6'), Jebbison (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Miretti (12' pen.)
Desplanches (36'), Ghilardi (61'), Faticanti (66'), Coppola (75'), Miretti (90+5'), Nasti (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's European Under-19s Championship clash between England Under-19s and Italy Under-19s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

England Under-19s

Last Six:

Last Game: Israel U19s 0-1 England U19s
Saturday, June 25 at 7pm in European Under-19s Championship

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ukraine Under-19s	3	2	7
2	France Under-19s	3	9	6
3	England Under-19s	3	-4	4
4	Turkey Under-19s	3	-7	0

Italy Under-19s

Last Six:

Last Game: France U19s 4-1 Italy U19s
Friday, June 24 at 4.30pm in European Under-19s Championship

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Italy Under-19s	3	2	7
2	Portugal Under-19s	3	4	6
3	Norway Under-19s	3	-1	4
4	Finland Under-19s	3	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Under-19s win with a probability of 50.52%. A win for Italy Under-19s had a probability of 26.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a England Under-19s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Italy Under-19s win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for England Under-19s in this match.

Result
England Under-19s	Draw	Italy Under-19s
50.52% ( -0.01)	22.53% ( -0.01)	26.95% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 61.97% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.83% (

0.03)

38.17% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.55% (

0.03)

60.44% (

-0.04)

England Under-19s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.65% (

0.01)

15.34% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.89% (

0.01)

44.11% (

-0.02)

Italy Under-19s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.2% (

0.02)

26.8% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.91% (

0.03)

62.08% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

England Under-19s 50.52%

Italy Under-19s 26.95%

Draw 22.53%

England Under-19s	Draw	Italy Under-19s
2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.94% 3-0 @ 4.51% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.91% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.12% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 3.93% Total : 50.52%	1-1 @ 10.14% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.53%	1-2 @ 6.68% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.42% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.57% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.16% Total : 26.95%