European Under-19s Championship | Group Stage

Jun 24, 2022 at 4.30pm UK

MOL Aréna

France U19s
4 - 1
Italy U19s

da Silva (24'), Tchaouna (37', 69'), Arconte (79')
Ba (45+4'), Varela (65'), Bondo (66'), Pereira (85')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Volpato (16')
Turricchia (32'), Degl'Innocenti (51'), Fontanarosa (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's European Under-19s Championship clash between France Under-19s and Italy Under-19s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

France Under-19s

Last Six:

Last Game: Romania U19s 1-2 France U19s
Tuesday, June 21 at 7pm in European Under-19s Championship

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ukraine Under-19s	3	2	7
2	France Under-19s	3	9	6
3	England Under-19s	3	-4	4
4	Turkey Under-19s	3	-7	0

Italy Under-19s

Last Six:

Last Game: Slovakia U19s 0-1 Italy U19s
Tuesday, June 21 at 4.30pm in European Under-19s Championship

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Italy Under-19s	3	2	7
2	Portugal Under-19s	3	4	6
3	Norway Under-19s	3	-1	4
4	Finland Under-19s	3	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-19s win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for France Under-19s had a probability of 37.37% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-19s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.09%) and 2-3 (4.64%). The likeliest France Under-19s win was 2-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
France Under-19s	Draw	Italy Under-19s
37.37% ( 0.02)	21.44% ( -0.01)	41.19% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 71.57% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.2% (

0.04)

27.8% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.51% (

0.05)

48.49% (

-0.04)

France Under-19s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.86% (

0.02)

16.14% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.43% (

0.04)

45.57% (

-0.04)

Italy Under-19s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.35% (

0.02)

14.66% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.2% (

0.03)

42.8% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

France Under-19s 37.37%

Italy Under-19s 41.19%

Draw 21.44%

France Under-19s	Draw	Italy Under-19s
2-1 @ 7.56% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.41% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.93% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.39% 4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.01% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.29% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 3.68% Total : 37.37%	1-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 7.25% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.82% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.37% ( -0) Other @ 0.71% Total : 21.44%	1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.09% 2-3 @ 4.64% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.36% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.44% 2-4 @ 2.23% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.36% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0) 1-5 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 3.5% Total : 41.19%