Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-19s win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for France Under-19s had a probability of 37.37% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-19s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.09%) and 2-3 (4.64%). The likeliest France Under-19s win was 2-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.