European Under-19s Championship | Group Stage

Jul 3, 2023 at 8pm UK

Ta'Qali National Stadium

Malta U19s
0 - 4
Italy U19s

FT(HT: 0-2)

Ndour (19' pen.), Pio Esposito (32' pen.), D'Andrea (47'), Vignato (90+2' pen.)

Coverage of the European Under-19s Championship Group Stage clash between Malta Under-19s and Italy Under-19s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malta Under-19s

Last Game: Malta U19s 2-2 Azerbaijan U19s
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Italy Under-19s

All competitions

Last Game: England U19s 2-1 Italy U19s
Tuesday, June 28 at 4pm in European Under-19s Championship

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Italy Under-19s	0	0	0
2	Portugal Under-19s	0	0	0
3	Poland Under-19s	0	0	0
4	Malta Under-19s	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-19s win with a probability of 75.16%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Malta Under-19s had a probability of 9.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-19s win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.7%) and 1-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.18%), while for a Malta Under-19s win it was 2-1 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy Under-19s would win this match.

Result
Malta Under-19s	Draw	Italy Under-19s
9.54% ( 0.54)	15.3% ( 0.62)	75.16% ( -1.17)

Both teams to score 50.67% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.9% (

-1.28)

35.1% (

1.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.9% (

-1.44)

57.1% (

1.44)

Malta Under-19s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.99% (

0.22)

45.01% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.06% (

0.18)

80.94% (

-0.18)

Italy Under-19s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.14% (

-0.54)

7.85% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.16% (

-1.38)

27.84% (

1.38)

Score Analysis

Malta Under-19s 9.54%

Italy Under-19s 75.16%

Draw 15.3%

Malta Under-19s	Draw	Italy Under-19s
2-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.76% Total : 9.54%	1-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.23) Other @ 0.94% Total : 15.3%	0-2 @ 11.44% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 9.7% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 9.13% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.34) 1-3 @ 7.75% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 6.17% ( -0.28) 1-4 @ 4.93% ( -0.19) 0-5 @ 3.14% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 2.51% ( -0.17) 2-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.06) 0-6 @ 1.33% ( -0.14) 1-6 @ 1.06% ( -0.1) 2-5 @ 1% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.95% Total : 75.16%