Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-19s win with a probability of 56.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Portugal Under-19s had a probability of 20.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-19s win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.93%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Portugal Under-19s win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.