European Under-19s Championship | Group Stage
Jul 6, 2023 at 5pm UK
MFA Centenary Stadium

Portugal U19s
5 - 1
Italy U19s

Ribeiro (35'), Sa (57'), Bras (68'), Felix (88'), Vasconcelos (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lipani (6')
Coverage of the European Under-19s Championship Group Stage clash between Portugal Under-19s and Italy Under-19s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugal Under-19s

All competitions
Last Game: Poland U19s 0-2 Portugal U19s
Monday, July 3 at 5pm in European Under-19s Championship

Italy Under-19s

All competitions
European Under-19s Championship
Last Game: Malta U19s 0-4 Italy U19s
Monday, July 3 at 8pm in European Under-19s Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-19s win with a probability of 56.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Portugal Under-19s had a probability of 20.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-19s win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.93%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Portugal Under-19s win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Portugal Under-19sDrawItaly Under-19s
20.47% (-27.06 -27.06)22.93% (-2.903 -2.9)56.59% (29.97 29.97)
Both teams to score 52.67% (1.939 1.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.17% (6.02 6.02)46.83% (-6.014 -6.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.91% (5.381 5.38)69.09% (-5.375 -5.38)
Portugal Under-19s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.95% (-14.812 -14.81)37.05% (14.817 14.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.17% (-18.17 -18.17)73.83% (18.176 18.18)
Italy Under-19s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.67% (18.435 18.44)16.33% (-18.429 -18.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.07% (25.569 25.57)45.93% (-25.563 -25.56)
Score Analysis
    Portugal Under-19s 20.47%
    Italy Under-19s 56.59%
    Draw 22.93%
Portugal Under-19sDrawItaly Under-19s
1-0 @ 6.01% (-5.611 -5.61)
2-1 @ 5.41% (-3.826 -3.83)
2-0 @ 2.98% (-5.754 -5.75)
3-1 @ 1.79% (-2.838 -2.84)
3-2 @ 1.62% (-0.824 -0.82)
3-0 @ 0.99% (-3.392 -3.39)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 20.47%
1-1 @ 10.88% (-1.39 -1.39)
0-0 @ 6.05% (-1.677 -1.68)
2-2 @ 4.9% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.118 0.12)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.93%
0-1 @ 10.96% (2.795 2.8)
0-2 @ 9.93% (5.619 5.62)
1-2 @ 9.86% (3.377 3.38)
0-3 @ 6% (4.48 4.48)
1-3 @ 5.96% (3.672 3.67)
2-3 @ 2.96% (1.24 1.24)
0-4 @ 2.72% (2.317 2.32)
1-4 @ 2.7% (2.094 2.09)
2-4 @ 1.34% (0.886 0.89)
0-5 @ 0.99% (0.9 0.9)
1-5 @ 0.98% (0.85 0.85)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 56.59%

How you voted: Portugal U19s vs Italy U19s

Portugal Under-19s
50.0%
Draw
30.0%
Italy Under-19s
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Oct 14, 2019 3pm
International Friendlies
Portugal U19s
1-0
Italy U19s
Oct 11, 2019 3.30pm
International Friendlies
Portugal U19s
4-1
Italy U19s
Silva (2', 10', 44'), Embalo (27')
Salcedo (46')
Sep 10, 2018 4pm
International Friendlies
Italy U19s
3-1
Portugal U19s
Riccardi (16'), Piccoli (76'), Fagioli (80' pen.)
Lopes (30')
Jul 29, 2018 5.30pm
Final
Italy U19s
3-4
Portugal U19s
Scamacca (107'), Kean (75', 76')
Zaniolo (67'), Kean (76'), Cerofolini (76'), Zanandrea (79'), Tonali (90'), Pinamonti (109'), Frattesi (115')
Jota (45', 107'), Trincao (72'), Correia (109')
Gomes (71'), Benjamin (72'), Jota (105'), Santos (115')
Jul 19, 2018 6.30pm
Group Stage
Portugal U19s
2-3
Italy U19s
Luis (69'), Quina (89')
Luis (22')
Queiros (9')
Capone (53'), Scamacca (78'), Frattesi (84')
Tripaldelli (38'), Kean (68'), Capone (78'), Marcucci (82')
rhs 2.0


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