Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal Under-19s win with a probability of 97.7%. A draw had a probability of 1.9% and a win for Malta Under-19s had a probability of 0.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal Under-19s win was 4-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 5-0 (13.26%) and 3-0 (12.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (0.89%), while for a Malta Under-19s win it was 0-1 (0.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portugal Under-19s would win this match.