European Under-19s Championship | Group Stage

Jul 9, 2023 at 5pm UK

Gozo Stadium

Portugal U19s
2 - 1
Malta U19s

Fale (8'), Vasconcelos (75')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Tuma (71')

Coverage of the European Under-19s Championship Group Stage clash between Portugal Under-19s and Malta Under-19s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugal Under-19s

All competitions

Last Game: Portugal U19s 5-1 Italy U19s
Thursday, July 6 at 5pm in European Under-19s Championship

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal Under-19s	2	6	6
2	Italy Under-19s	2	0	3
3	Poland Under-19s	2	0	3
4	Malta Under-19s	2	-6	0

Malta Under-19s

All competitions

Last Game: Malta U19s 0-2 Poland U19s
Thursday, July 6 at 8.15pm in European Under-19s Championship

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal Under-19s	2	6	6
2	Italy Under-19s	2	0	3
3	Poland Under-19s	2	0	3
4	Malta Under-19s	2	-6	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal Under-19s win with a probability of 97.7%. A draw had a probability of 1.9% and a win for Malta Under-19s had a probability of 0.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal Under-19s win was 4-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 5-0 (13.26%) and 3-0 (12.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (0.89%), while for a Malta Under-19s win it was 0-1 (0.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portugal Under-19s would win this match.

Result
Portugal Under-19s	Draw	Malta Under-19s
97.7% ( 4.05)	1.92% ( -2.82)	0.38% ( -1.22)

Both teams to score 23.43% (

-14.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

87.16% (

4.99)

12.84% (

-4.98)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

72.88% (

7.8)

27.12% (

-7.8)

Portugal Under-19s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

99.08% (

0.97)

0.92% (

-0.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

94.76% (

4.12)

5.24% (

-4.12)

Malta Under-19s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

23.64% (

-14.89)

76.36% (

14.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

3.04% (

-5.57)

96.96% (

5.58)

Score Analysis

Portugal Under-19s 97.69%

Malta Under-19s 0.38%

Draw 1.92%

Portugal Under-19s	Draw	Malta Under-19s
4-0 @ 14.15% ( 2.15) 5-0 @ 13.26% ( 3.72) 3-0 @ 12.07% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 10.36% ( 4.04) 2-0 @ 7.73% ( -1.4) 7-0 @ 6.94% ( 3.35) 8-0 @ 4.06% ( 2.28) 4-1 @ 3.82% ( -2.03) 5-1 @ 3.58% ( -1.07) 1-0 @ 3.3% ( -1.3) 3-1 @ 3.26% ( -2.63) 6-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.28) 9-0 @ 2.12% ( 1.33) 2-1 @ 2.09% ( -2.36) 7-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.13) 8-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.23) 10-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.68) Other @ 4.22% Total : 97.69%	Other @ 1.92% Total : 1.92%	Other @ 0.38% Total : 0.38%