Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-19s win with a probability of 71.65%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Norway Under-19s had a probability of 11.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-19s win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 3-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for a Norway Under-19s win it was 1-2 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Italy Under-19s would win this match.