Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round
Nov 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
Estadio Municipal Jose dos Santos Pinto

Sporting Covilha
2 - 3
Rebordosa

da Costa Duarte (34'), Miguel Torrao Ramalho (90+8')
Miguel Torrao Ramalho (60'), Nicolau Goncalves Oliveira (79'), Rodrigues Santana (90+9'), da Costa Duarte (90+9')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Daniel Mendes Barros (2', 27'), Silva (64')
Eduardo Coelho Leal (35'), Carlos Silva Goncalves (39'), Silva (56'), Nuno dos Santos Soares (79'), Daniel Mendes Barros (79'), Moreira Santos (90+1')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Fourth Round clash between Sporting Covilha and Rebordosa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Covilha

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Last Game: Sporting Covilha 3-2 Moncarapachense
Sunday, October 20 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
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Rebordosa

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Last Game: Os Marialvas 1-2 Rebordosa
Sunday, October 20 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Covilha win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Rebordosa had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Covilha win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Rebordosa win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Sporting CovilhaDrawRebordosa
38.58% (0.052 0.05)26.89% (0.159 0.16)34.52% (-0.21 -0.21)
Both teams to score 51.11% (-0.541 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.94% (-0.672 -0.67)54.06% (0.672 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.51% (-0.566 -0.57)75.49% (0.565 0.56)
Sporting Covilha Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.71% (-0.288 -0.29)27.28% (0.287 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.28% (-0.376 -0.38)62.72% (0.374 0.37)
Rebordosa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.28% (-0.465 -0.47)29.71% (0.465 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.22% (-0.569 -0.57)65.77% (0.568 0.57)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Covilha 38.58%
    Rebordosa 34.52%
    Draw 26.89%
Sporting CovilhaDrawRebordosa
1-0 @ 10.53% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 8.3% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.84% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.59% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.96% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.96% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 38.58%
1-1 @ 12.77% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.11% (0.21 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.89%
0-1 @ 9.84% (0.132 0.13)
1-2 @ 7.75% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.14% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.42% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 34.52%