Taca de Portugal
Oct 20, 2024 3.00pm
3
2
HT :
1
2
FT
Estadio Municipal Jose dos Santos Pinto
-
Ricardo Miguel Torrao Ramalho
11'
-
Arafat Mohammad Fahid Al Haj Ibrahim
90'+3'
-
Lucas da Costa Duarte
90'+8'
-
Lucas da Costa Duarte
90'+9'
-
Isaias Moura Vera Cruz
23'
-
Diogo Souza Machado
34'
-
Arnold Issoko
45'
-
Isaias Moura Vera Cruz
57'
-
Octavio Alexandre Leal Barros
77'
-
Alvaro Ricardo Faustino Gomes
81'
-
Leandro Turossi
88'
Sporting Covilha vs Moncarapachense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Covilha win with a probability of 53.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Moncarapachense had a probability of 20.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Covilha win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Moncarapachense win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Covilha would win this match.
Result
Sporting Covilha
53.86%
Draw
25.2%
Moncarapachense
20.93%
Both Teams to Score:
46.59%
Goals
Over 2.5
44.75%
Under 2.5
55.25%
Over 3.5
23.52%
Under 3.5
76.47%
Over 4.5
10.44%
Under 4.5
89.56%
Sporting Covilha Goals
Over 0.5
79.48%
Under 0.5
20.51%
Over 1.5
46.99%
Under 1.5
53.01%
Moncarapachense Goals
Over 0.5
58.62%
Under 0.5
41.38%
Over 1.5
22.1%
Under 1.5
77.89%
Score analysis
Sporting Covilha
53.85%
Draw
25.2%
Moncarapachense
20.93%
Sporting Covilha
1-0
@
13.44%
2-0 @ 10.65%
2-1 @ 9.4%
3-0 @ 5.62%
3-1 @ 4.96%
4-0 @ 2.23%
3-2 @ 2.19%
4-1 @ 1.97%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 53.85%
2-0 @ 10.65%
2-1 @ 9.4%
3-0 @ 5.62%
3-1 @ 4.96%
4-0 @ 2.23%
3-2 @ 2.19%
4-1 @ 1.97%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 53.85%
Draw
1-1
@
11.86%
0-0 @ 8.49%
2-2 @ 4.15%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 25.2%
0-0 @ 8.49%
2-2 @ 4.15%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 25.2%
Moncarapachense
0-1
@
7.49%
1-2 @ 5.23%
0-2 @ 3.3%
1-3 @ 1.54%
2-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 20.93%
1-2 @ 5.23%
0-2 @ 3.3%
1-3 @ 1.54%
2-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 20.93%