Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 21, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Estadio das Seixas

Atletico Malveira
2 - 1
AD Marco 09

Selemane (43')
Silva (90+6'), Selemane (107'), Bruninho (119')
FT
(aet)
Pedro (31')
Pedro (75'), Serginho (88'), Leal (98'), Issoko (107')
Atletico Malveira win 7-6 on penalties
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Atletico Malveira and AD Marco 09.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Malveira

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

AD Marco 09

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AD Marco 09 win with a probability of 73.65%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Atletico Malveira had a probability of 10.32%.

The most likely scoreline for an AD Marco 09 win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.41%) and 1-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for an Atletico Malveira win it was 2-1 (3.07%).

Result
Atletico MalveiraDrawAD Marco 09
10.32% (0.029 0.03)16.03% (0.018000000000001 0.02)73.65% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 50.99% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.74% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)36.26% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.62% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)58.38% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Atletico Malveira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.7% (0.049999999999997 0.05)44.3% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.63% (0.039000000000001 0.04)80.37% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
AD Marco 09 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.54% (-0.012 -0.01)8.46% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.65% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)29.35% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Malveira 10.32%
    AD Marco 09 73.65%
    Draw 16.03%
Atletico MalveiraDrawAD Marco 09
2-1 @ 3.07% (0.008 0.01)
1-0 @ 3.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.24% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 10.32%
1-1 @ 7.54% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.79% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.75% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 16.03%
0-2 @ 11.43%
0-3 @ 9.41% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.31% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 9.25% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 7.66%
0-4 @ 5.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 4.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.12% (0.004 0)
0-5 @ 2.87% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-5 @ 2.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-6 @ 1.18% (-0.004 -0)
1-6 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
2-5 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 73.65%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Atletico Malveira