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Serie A | Gameweek 1
Sep 30, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Atalanta logo

Lazio
1 - 4
Atalanta

Caicedo (57')
Marusic (12'), Alberto (26'), Leiva (40'), Cataldi (70'), Acerbi (72'), Caicedo (75'), Immobile (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Gosens (10'), Hateboer (32'), Papu (41', 61')
Djimsiti (17'), Freuler (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A fixture between Lazio and Atalanta BC, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Lazio win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
LazioDrawAtalanta BC
32.08%24.47%43.45%
Both teams to score 58.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.79%44.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.41%66.59%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.56%26.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.39%61.61%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.53%20.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.07%52.93%
Score Analysis
    Lazio 32.08%
    Atalanta BC 43.45%
    Draw 24.46%
LazioDrawAtalanta BC
2-1 @ 7.6%
1-0 @ 7.2%
2-0 @ 4.79%
3-1 @ 3.37%
3-2 @ 2.67%
3-0 @ 2.12%
4-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 32.08%
1-1 @ 11.41%
2-2 @ 6.03%
0-0 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.46%
1-2 @ 9.06%
0-1 @ 8.58%
0-2 @ 6.81%
1-3 @ 4.79%
0-3 @ 3.6%
2-3 @ 3.19%
1-4 @ 1.9%
0-4 @ 1.43%
2-4 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 43.45%

Head to Head
Jun 24, 2020 8.45pm
Oct 19, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 8
Lazio
3-3
Atalanta
Immobile (69' pen., 93' pen.), Correa (70')
Marusic (27'), Parolo (32'), Lulic (49'), Milinkovic-Savic (80'), Immobile (93')
Muriel (23', 28'), Papu (37')
Gollini (58'), Toloi (60')
May 15, 2019 7.45pm
May 5, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 35
Lazio
1-3
Atalanta
Parolo (3')
Bastos (26'), Caicedo (41'), Leiva (60'), Correa (87')
Zapata (22'), Castagne (58'), Wallace (76' og.)
Masiello (36'), Papu (54'), Mancini (83')
Dec 17, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
Atalanta
1-0
Lazio
Zapata (1')
Zapata (50'), Djimsiti (88')

Parolo (38'), Wallace (62'), Lukaku (87'), Acerbi (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan32265177176083
2AC Milan32216563372669
3Juventus32189545242163
4Bologna321611545252059
5Roma31167856352155
6Atalanta BCAtalanta311561057362151
7Napoli321310950401049
8Lazio32154134135649
9Torino32111293129245
10Fiorentina31128114336744
11Monza321110113441-743
12Genoa32912113539-439
13Lecce32711142748-2132
14CagliariCagliari32710153454-2031
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona32610163044-1428
16Udinese31416113047-1728
17Empoli3277182548-2328
18FrosinoneFrosinone3269174063-2327
19SassuoloSassuolo3268183962-2326
20Salernitana3229212668-4215


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