Premier League Gameweek 9
Oct 31, 2026 3.00pm
Vitality Stadium

Bournemouth vs Leeds United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

All competitions
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 2.00pm
Bournemouth 2 - 0 Sunderland
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Marcus Tavernier

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 2.00pm
Leeds 1 - 1 Man Utd
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bournemouth win with a probability of 54.23%. A draw has a probability of 26.11% and a win for Leeds United has a probability of 19.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.3%) , while for a Leeds United win it is 0-1 (7.02%).

Result

Bournemouth 54.23% ▲ (+0.05)
Draw 26.11% ▼ (-0.04)
Leeds United 19.67% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.24% ▲ (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.65% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 29.35% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 46.71%
Under 2.5 53.29%
Over 3.5 27.1% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 72.9% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 4.5 16.42% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 83.58% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Bournemouth 42.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 40.24% ▼ (-0.05)
Leeds United 17.72% ▲ (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Bournemouth 58.02% ▼ (-0.08)
No Goal 9.29% ▼ (-0.04)
Leeds United 32.69% ▲ (+0.10)

Corners

Over 8 62.79% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.08%
Under 8 26.13% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 9 51.03% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.76% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 37.21% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 10.5 39.62% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 10.5 60.38% ▼ (-0.02)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 1.5 48.16%
Under 1.5 51.84%
Over 2.5 23.34% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 76.66% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 10.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 89.88% ▲ (+0.01)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 52.98% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 47.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 20.62% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 79.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 6.42% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 93.58% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.71% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.29% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Bournemouth 54.22%
Draw 26.11%
Leeds United 19.68%
Bournemouth
1-0 @ 13.05% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 9.69% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.28% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.76% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.44%
Other @ 9.89%
Total : 54.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.3% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 9.29% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 26.11%
Leeds United
0-1 @ 7.02% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 4.43% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.95%
1-3 @ 1.54%
2-3 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 19.68%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 34
Apr 22, 2026 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Vitality Stadium
  • Eli Kroupi 60' goal
  • Rayan 67' yellowcard
  • Amine Adli 73' yellowcard
  • Tyler Adams 73' yellowcard
  • Rayan 85' goal
  • Alex Tóth 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Rodon 46'
  • yellowcard Wilfried Gnonto 64'
  • yellowcard Lukas Nmecha 64'
  • goal James Hill 68' (OG)
  • yellowcard Sean Longstaff 84'
  • yellowcard Joël Piroe 89'
  • goal Sean Longstaff 90'+7'
Premier League
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 34
Apr 30, 2023 2.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Jefferson Lerma 20' goal
  • Jefferson Lerma 24' goal
  • Dominic Solanke 63' goal
  • Antoine Semenyo 90'+1' goal
  • goal Patrick Bamford 32'
Premier League Gameweek 15
Nov 5, 2022 3.00pm
4
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Rodrigo 3' goal
  • Sam Greenwood 60' goal
  • Liam Cooper 68' goal
  • Crysencio Summerville 84' goal
  • goal Marcus Tavernier 7'
  • goal Philip Billing 19'
  • goal Dominic Solanke 48'
Championship
Jan 20, 2015 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lewis Cook 15' yellowcard
  • Luke Murphy 36' goal
  • Sam Byram 84' yellowcard
  • Giuseppe Bellusci 86' redcard
  • yellowcard Simon Francis 47'
Championship
Sep 16, 2014 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Andrew Surman 6' goal
  • Harry Arter 84' yellowcard
  • goal Souleymane Doukara 67'
  • yellowcard Giuseppe Bellusci 80'
  • goal Giuseppe Bellusci 82'
  • goal Mirco Antenucci 89'