EFL Cup
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Bournemouth vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bournemouth win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for Aston Villa has a probability of 36.67% and a draw has a probability of 24.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.37%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest Aston Villa win is 1-2 (7.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.4%).
Result
Bournemouth
39.35%
▲
(+0.53)
Draw
24.04%
▲
(+0.25)
Aston Villa
36.67%
▼
(-0.72)
Both Teams to Score:
59.19%
▼
(-0.25)
Goals
Over 1.5
80.76%
▲
(+0.58)
Under 1.5
19.24%
▼
(-0.59)
Over 2.5
59.35%
▲
(+0.47)
Under 2.5
40.65%
▼
(-0.47)
Over 3.5
37.87%
▼
(-0.39)
Under 3.5
62.13%
▲
(+0.39)
Over 4.5
23.54%
▼
(-0.43)
Under 4.5
76.46%
▲
(+0.42)
First Half Winner
Bournemouth
31.78%
▼
(-0.09)
Draw
41.63%
▲
(+0.68)
Aston Villa
26.6%
▼
(-0.58)
Team To Score First
Bournemouth
49.44%
▲
(+0.37)
No Goal
5.07%
▼
(-0.03)
Aston Villa
45.49%
▼
(-0.34)
Corners
Over 8
54.8%
▼
(-0.05)
Equal 8
11.31%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 8
33.89%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 9
43.56%
▼
(-0.18)
Equal 9
11.24%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 9
45.2%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 10.5
33.26%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 10.5
66.74%
▲
(+0.29)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 1.5
43.92%
▲
(+0.49)
Under 1.5
56.08%
▼
(-0.49)
Over 2.5
20.57%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 2.5
79.43%
▼
(-0.17)
Over 3.5
8.5%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 3.5
91.5%
▲
(+0.16)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5
70.89%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 0.5
29.11%
▲
(+0.29)
Over 1.5
41.55%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 1.5
58.45%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 2.5
19.04%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 2.5
80.96%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 3.5
7.23%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
92.77%
▼
(-0.03)
Score analysis
Bournemouth
39.35%
Draw
24.04%
Aston Villa
36.67%
Bournemouth
2-1
@
8.04%
▲
(+0.17)
1-0 @ 7.37% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 5.7% ▲ (+0.21)
3-1 @ 4.04% ▲ (+0.13)
3-2 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.15)
3-0 @ 3.06% ▲ (+0.30)
Other @ 7.97% ▼ (-0.21)
Total : 39.35%
1-0 @ 7.37% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 5.7% ▲ (+0.21)
3-1 @ 4.04% ▲ (+0.13)
3-2 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.15)
3-0 @ 3.06% ▲ (+0.30)
Other @ 7.97% ▼ (-0.21)
Total : 39.35%
Draw
1-1
@
10.4%
▲
(+0.10)
2-2 @ 6.24% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.53% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 24.04%
2-2 @ 6.24% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.53% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 24.04%
Aston Villa
1-2
@
7.8%
▲
(+0.30)
0-1 @ 6.86% ▼ (-0.56)
0-2 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.21)
1-3 @ 4.05% ▼ (-0.17)
2-3 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.15)
0-3 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 6.7% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 36.67%
0-1 @ 6.86% ▼ (-0.56)
0-2 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.21)
1-3 @ 4.05% ▼ (-0.17)
2-3 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.15)
0-3 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 6.7% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 36.67%
Head to Head
Premier League
Gameweek
25
-
Rayan
55'
-
Ryan Christie
65'
-
Adam Smith
86'
-
David Brooks
87'
-
Enes Ünal
90'
-
Morgan Rogers
22'
-
Leon Bailey
66'
-
Ross Barkley
77'
-
Ian Maatsen
77'
-
Tammy Abraham
86'
-
Lamare Bogarde
86'
Premier League
Premier League
Gameweek
36
-
Alex Scott
27'
-
Adam Smith
45'+4'
-
Illia Zabarnyi
78'
-
Dean Huijsen
83'
-
Marco Asensio
28'
-
Emiliano Martinez
45'+5'
-
Jacob Ramsey
45'+5'
-
Ollie Watkins
45'+6'
-
Jacob Ramsey
80'
-
Ezri Konsa
90'+1'
Premier League
Gameweek
9
-
Amadou Onana
4'
-
Youri Tielemans
18'
-
Jacob Ramsey
41'
-
John McGinn
55'
-
Lucas Digne
58'
-
Ross Barkley
76'
-
Matty Cash
90'+4'
-
Ross Barkley
90'+6'
-
Justin Kluivert
10'
-
Julian Araujo
21'
-
Adam Smith
40'
-
Enes Unal
45'+1'
-
Antoine Semenyo
80'
-
Marcus Tavernier
90'
-
Evanilson
90'+6'
Premier League
Gameweek
34
-
Morgan Rogers
45'+1'
-
Moussa Diaby
57'
-
Leon Bailey
78'
-
Matty Cash
87'
-
Adam Smith
21'
-
Dominic Solanke
31'
-
Marcos Senesi
37'
-
Illia Zabarnyi
55'
Premier League
Gameweek
14
-
Antoine Semenyo
10'
-
Justin Kluivert
12'
-
Antoine Semenyo
17'
-
Marcos Senesi
45'+4'
-
Dominic Solanke
52'
-
Ryan Christie
54'
-
Milos Kerkez
84'
-
Leon Bailey
20'
-
Pau Torres
29'
-
Nicolo Zaniolo
43'
-
Jhon Duran
84'
-
Ollie Watkins
90'