Premier League
Gameweek
6
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fastlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbrelog.png)
Aston Villa vs Brentford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Injuries & Suspensions
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F07%2Fimago1080309480-1-6a6b3f1974a25451398885.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Brentford win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Aston Villa has a probability of 34.64% and a draw has a probability of 24.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.32%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Aston Villa win is 2-1 (7.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.71%).
Result
Aston Villa
34.64%
▼
(-1.90)
Draw
24.37%
▲
(+0.64)
Brentford
41.03%
▲
(+1.35)
Both Teams to Score:
61.14%
▼
(-0.25)
Goals
Over 1.5
80.82%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 1.5
19.18%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 2.5
59.41%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 2.5
40.59%
▲
(+0.25)
Over 3.5
37.36%
▼
(-0.33)
Under 3.5
62.64%
▲
(+0.33)
Over 4.5
22.19%
▼
(-0.26)
Under 4.5
77.81%
▲
(+0.27)
First Half Winner
Aston Villa
28.41%
▼
(-0.40)
Draw
39.24%
▼
(-0.79)
Brentford
32.35%
▲
(+1.18)
Team To Score First
Aston Villa
47.98%
▲
(+1.95)
No Goal
4.99%
▲
(+0.09)
Brentford
47.03%
▼
(-2.04)
Corners
Over 8
68%
▲
(+5.36)
Equal 8
10.66%
▼
(-0.48)
Under 8
21.34%
▼
(-4.88)
Over 9
56.11%
▲
(+5.27)
Equal 9
11.89%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 9
32%
▼
(-5.36)
Over 10.5
44.08%
▲
(+4.68)
Under 10.5
55.92%
▼
(-4.68)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 1.5
39.88%
▼
(-1.48)
Under 1.5
60.12%
▲
(+1.48)
Over 2.5
17.16%
▼
(-1.17)
Under 2.5
82.84%
▲
(+1.18)
Over 3.5
6.02%
▼
(-0.65)
Under 3.5
93.98%
▲
(+0.65)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5
75.07%
▲
(+1.26)
Under 0.5
24.93%
▼
(-1.27)
Over 1.5
45.45%
▲
(+1.36)
Under 1.5
54.55%
▼
(-1.36)
Over 2.5
20.94%
▲
(+0.84)
Under 2.5
79.06%
▼
(-0.83)
Over 3.5
8.03%
▲
(+0.33)
Under 3.5
91.97%
▼
(-0.33)
Score analysis
Aston Villa
34.63%
Draw
24.38%
Brentford
41.01%
Aston Villa
2-1
@
7.71%
▼
(-0.22)
1-0 @ 6.89% ▼ (-0.11)
2-0 @ 4.95% ▼ (-0.23)
3-1 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.30)
3-2 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.31)
Other @ 5.78% ▼ (-0.68)
Total : 34.63%
1-0 @ 6.89% ▼ (-0.11)
2-0 @ 4.95% ▼ (-0.23)
3-1 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.30)
3-2 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.31)
Other @ 5.78% ▼ (-0.68)
Total : 34.63%
Draw
1-1
@
10.71%
▲
(+0.25)
2-2 @ 6.6% ▲ (+0.12)
0-0 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 0.24% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 24.38%
2-2 @ 6.6% ▲ (+0.12)
0-0 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 0.24% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 24.38%
Brentford
1-2
@
9.06%
▲
(+0.35)
0-1 @ 7.32% ▲ (+0.17)
0-2 @ 5.77% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 4.68% ▲ (+0.10)
2-3 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.25)
Other @ 7.79% ▲ (+0.30)
Total : 41.01%
0-1 @ 7.32% ▲ (+0.17)
0-2 @ 5.77% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 4.68% ▲ (+0.10)
2-3 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.25)
Other @ 7.79% ▲ (+0.30)
Total : 41.01%
Head to Head
Premier League
Gameweek
24
-
Leon Bailey
46'
-
Harvey Elliott
77'
-
Dango Ouattara
45'+1'
-
Yegor Yarmolyuk
60'
-
Nathan Collins
60'
-
Keane Lewis-Potter
76'
-
Aaron Hickey
84'
EFL Cup
Premier League
Premier League
Gameweek
28
-
Kristoffer Ajer
67'
-
Nathan Collins
90'+6'
-
John McGinn
42'
-
Ollie Watkins
49'
-
Matty Cash
81'
Premier League
Gameweek
14
-
Morgan Rogers
21'
-
Ollie Watkins
28'
-
Matty Cash
34'
-
Jhon Duran
65'
-
Matty Cash
82'
-
Ethan Pinnock
25'
-
Nathan Collins
49'
-
Mikkel Damsgaard
54'
Premier League
Gameweek
32
-
Ollie Watkins
38'
-
Morgan Rogers
46'
-
Ollie Watkins
80'
-
Diego Carlos
84'
-
Douglas Luiz
90'+7'
-
Mikkel Damsgaard
42'
-
Yoane Wissa
53'
-
Mathias Jorgensen
59'
-
Bryan Mbeumo
61'
-
Yoane Wissa
68'
Form Data
Build-up
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F09%2Fismaila-sarr-update-duplicated-email-sportmole-1-6a9c9b8e27ad2673693112.jpg)