Premier League Gameweek 4
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Villa Park
  • Nicolas Jackson 45' yellowcard
  • Alysson 74' goal
  • Tyrone Mings 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dan Ndoye 43'
  • goal Liam Delap 46'
  • yellowcard Murillo 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Xaver Schlager 56'
  • yellowcard Liam Delap 74'
  • yellowcard James McAtee 80'
  • goal Igor Jesus 88'

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 5.30pm
Hull City 0 - 0 Aston Villa
Goals scored
1
Top scorer
Alysson

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Nott'm Forest 0 - 0 Spurs
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Dan Ndoye

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-2 (7.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result

Aston Villa 41.82% ▼ (-0.25)
Draw 24.94% ▲ (+0.06)
Nottingham Forest 33.24% ▲ (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.98% ▼ (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.39%
Under 1.5 19.61%
Over 2.5 59.21% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 40.79% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 37.34% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 62.66% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 4.5 22.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 77.96% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Aston Villa 34.74% ▼ (-0.31)
Draw 40.37% ▲ (+0.20)
Nottingham Forest 24.88% ▲ (+0.10)

Team To Score First

Aston Villa 55.1% ▲ (+0.18)
No Goal 5.35% ▲ (+0.01)
Nottingham Forest 39.55% ▼ (-0.20)

Corners

Over 8 65% ▲ (+0.32)
Equal 8 10.69% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 8 24.31% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 9 53.44% ▲ (+0.35)
Equal 9 11.55% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 9 35.01% ▼ (-0.31)
Over 10.5 42.03% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 10.5 57.97% ▼ (-0.36)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 1.5 46.1% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 1.5 53.9% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 2.5 21.44% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 2.5 78.56% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 3.5 8.25% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 91.75% ▲ (+0.07)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5 69.83% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 0.5 30.17% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 1.5 39.09% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 60.91% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 2.5 16.53% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 2.5 83.47% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 3.5 5.9% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 94.1% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

Aston Villa 41.81%
Draw 24.94%
Nottingham Forest 33.27%
Aston Villa
2-1 @ 8.77% ▼ (-0.06)
1-0 @ 7.71% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.95% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.77% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 7.93% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 41.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.63% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 6.9%
0-0 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 24.94%
Nottingham Forest
1-2 @ 7.65% ▲ (+0.04)
0-1 @ 6.57% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.04%
0-3 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 5.58% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 33.27%

Head to Head

Europa League
May 7, 2026 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Villa Park
  • Ollie Watkins 36' goal
  • Emiliano Buendía 58' yellowcard
  • Lamare Bogarde 74' yellowcard
  • John McGinn 77' goal
  • John McGinn 80' goal
  • Jadon Sancho 86' yellowcard
  • Tyrone Mings 89' yellowcard
  • Leon Bailey 90' yellowcard
  • Douglas Luiz 90' yellowcard
  • Tyrone Mings 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Yates  46'
  • yellowcard Dilane Bakwa 71'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Lucca 71'
  • yellowcard Murillo 88'
  • yellowcard Jimmy Sinclair 88'
Europa League
Apr 30, 2026 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The City Ground
  • Chris Wood  71' yellowcard
  • Zach Abbott 75' yellowcard
  • Ryan Yates  90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lamare Bogarde 55'
  • yellowcard Douglas Luiz 78'
  • yellowcard Douglas Luiz 79'
  • yellowcard Ian Maatsen 79'
  • yellowcard Jadon Sancho 79'
Premier League
Apr 12, 2026 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT The City Ground
  • Neco Williams 38' goal
  • Chris Wood  65' yellowcard
  • Nicolás Domínguez 84' yellowcard
  • Ryan Yates  89' yellowcard
  • Ola Aina  89' yellowcard
  • Dan Ndoye 89' yellowcard
  • goal Murillo 23' (OG)
  • yellowcard Douglas Luiz 77'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Buendía 78'
  • yellowcard Ian Maatsen 78'
  • yellowcard Tammy Abraham 87'
  • yellowcard Andrés García 90'+1'
Premier League Gameweek 20
Jan 3, 2026 12.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Villa Park
  • Ollie Watkins 45'+1' goal
  • John McGinn 49' goal
  • Jadon Sancho 69' yellowcard
  • Lucas Digne 69' yellowcard
  • John McGinn 73' goal
  • Lamare Bogarde 83' yellowcard
  • Donyell Malen 83' yellowcard
  • Andrés García 90' yellowcard
  • goal Morgan Gibbs-White 61'
  • yellowcard James McAtee 69'
  • yellowcard Nicolò Savona 69'
  • yellowcard Matz Sels 78'
  • yellowcard Douglas Luiz 83'
  • yellowcard Arnaud Kalimuendo 83'
Premier League Gameweek 31
Apr 5, 2025 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Villa Park
  • Morgan Rogers 13' goal
  • Donyell Malen 15' goal
  • Marco Asensio 51' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Martinez 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Morato 49'
  • goal Jota Silva 57'
  • yellowcard Jota Silva 73'
Premier League Gameweek 16
Dec 14, 2024 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT The City Ground
  • Nikola Milenkovic 87' goal
  • Anthony Elanga 90'+3' goal
  • goal Jhon Duran 63'
  • yellowcard Jhon Duran 70'

Build-up

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