Premier League Gameweek 4
Aston Villa
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
Villa Park
Nott'm Forest

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 5.30pm
Hull City 0 - 0 Aston Villa

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Nott'm Forest 0 - 0 Spurs
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Dan Ndoye

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Aston Villa win with a probability of 39.77%. A win for Nottingham Forest has a probability of 35.16% and a draw has a probability of 25.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aston Villa win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.72%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win is 1-2 (7.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.77%).

Result

Aston Villa 39.77% ▼ (-0.71)
Draw 25.07% ▲ (+0.40)
Nottingham Forest 35.16% ▲ (+0.32)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.98% ▼ (-1.91)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.63% ▼ (-1.53)
Under 1.5 20.37% ▲ (+1.52)
Over 2.5 58.17% ▼ (-2.29)
Under 2.5 41.83% ▲ (+2.29)
Over 3.5 36.26% ▼ (-2.29)
Under 3.5 63.74% ▲ (+2.29)
Over 4.5 21.19% ▼ (-1.84)
Under 4.5 78.81% ▲ (+1.85)

First Half Winner

Aston Villa 35.11% ▲ (+0.32)
Draw 40.04% ▼ (-0.18)
Nottingham Forest 24.84% ▼ (-0.15)

Team To Score First

Aston Villa 54.78% ▼ (-0.54)
No Goal 5.58% ▲ (+0.47)
Nottingham Forest 39.64% ▲ (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 64.69% ▼ (-0.50)
Equal 8 10.75% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 8 24.56% ▲ (+0.44)
Over 9 53.1% ▼ (-0.54)
Equal 9 11.59% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 35.31% ▲ (+0.50)
Over 10.5 41.68% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 10.5 58.32% ▲ (+0.50)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 1.5 43.77% ▼ (-1.78)
Under 1.5 56.23% ▲ (+1.78)
Over 2.5 19.79% ▼ (-1.36)
Under 2.5 80.21% ▲ (+1.35)
Over 3.5 7.41% ▼ (-0.71)
Under 3.5 92.59% ▲ (+0.72)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5 70.86% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 0.5 29.14% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 1.5 40.05% ▼ (-1.00)
Under 1.5 59.95% ▲ (+1.00)
Over 2.5 17.15% ▼ (-0.95)
Under 2.5 82.85% ▲ (+0.94)
Over 3.5 6.18% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 3.5 93.82% ▲ (+0.57)

Score analysis

Aston Villa 39.77%
Draw 25.06%
Nottingham Forest 35.15%
Aston Villa
2-1 @ 8.52% ▼ (-0.09)
1-0 @ 7.72% ▲ (+0.42)
2-0 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.17)
3-2 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.23)
3-0 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 7.11% ▼ (-0.66)
Total : 39.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.77% ▲ (+0.36)
2-2 @ 6.76% ▼ (-0.24)
0-0 @ 5.58% ▲ (+0.47)
3-3 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 0.3% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 25.06%
Nottingham Forest
1-2 @ 7.88% ▲ (+0.08)
0-1 @ 7.05% ▲ (+0.63)
0-2 @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.34)
1-3 @ 3.83% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.21)
0-3 @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 5.88% ▼ (-0.53)
Total : 35.15%

Head to Head

Europa League
Aston Villa
May 7, 2026 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Villa Park
Nott'm Forest
  • Ollie Watkins 36' goal
  • Emiliano Buendía 58' yellowcard
  • Lamare Bogarde 74' yellowcard
  • John McGinn 77' goal
  • John McGinn 80' goal
  • Jadon Sancho 86' yellowcard
  • Tyrone Mings 89' yellowcard
  • Leon Bailey 90' yellowcard
  • Douglas Luiz 90' yellowcard
  • Tyrone Mings 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Yates  46'
  • yellowcard Dilane Bakwa 71'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Lucca 71'
  • yellowcard Murillo 88'
  • yellowcard Jimmy Sinclair 88'
Europa League
Nott'm Forest
Apr 30, 2026 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The City Ground
Aston Villa
  • Chris Wood  71' yellowcard
  • Zach Abbott 75' yellowcard
  • Ryan Yates  90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lamare Bogarde 55'
  • yellowcard Douglas Luiz 78'
  • yellowcard Douglas Luiz 79'
  • yellowcard Ian Maatsen 79'
  • yellowcard Jadon Sancho 79'
Premier League
Nott'm Forest
Apr 12, 2026 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT The City Ground
Aston Villa
  • Neco Williams 38' goal
  • Chris Wood  65' yellowcard
  • Nicolás Domínguez 84' yellowcard
  • Ryan Yates  89' yellowcard
  • Ola Aina  89' yellowcard
  • Dan Ndoye 89' yellowcard
  • goal Murillo 23' (OG)
  • yellowcard Douglas Luiz 77'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Buendía 78'
  • yellowcard Ian Maatsen 78'
  • yellowcard Tammy Abraham 87'
  • yellowcard Andrés García 90'+1'
Premier League Gameweek 20
Aston Villa
Jan 3, 2026 12.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Villa Park
Nott'm Forest
  • Ollie Watkins 45'+1' goal
  • John McGinn 49' goal
  • Jadon Sancho 69' yellowcard
  • Lucas Digne 69' yellowcard
  • John McGinn 73' goal
  • Lamare Bogarde 83' yellowcard
  • Donyell Malen 83' yellowcard
  • Andrés García 90' yellowcard
  • goal Morgan Gibbs-White 61'
  • yellowcard James McAtee 69'
  • yellowcard Nicolò Savona 69'
  • yellowcard Matz Sels 78'
  • yellowcard Douglas Luiz 83'
  • yellowcard Arnaud Kalimuendo 83'
Premier League Gameweek 31
Aston Villa
Apr 5, 2025 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Villa Park
Nott'm Forest
  • Morgan Rogers 13' goal
  • Donyell Malen 15' goal
  • Marco Asensio 51' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Martinez 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Morato 49'
  • goal Jota Silva 57'
  • yellowcard Jota Silva 73'
Premier League Gameweek 16
Nott'm Forest
Dec 14, 2024 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT The City Ground
Aston Villa
  • Nikola Milenkovic 87' goal
  • Anthony Elanga 90'+3' goal
  • goal Jhon Duran 63'
  • yellowcard Jhon Duran 70'

Form Data

Brugge 2 - 3 Aston Villa
Hull City 0 - 0 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 0 - 1 Arsenal
Brighton 4 - 0 Aston Villa
Borussia M'bach 2 - 1 Aston Villa
PSG 2 - 1 Aston Villa
Nott'm Forest 0 - 0 Spurs
Liverpool 2 - 2 Nott'm Forest
Nott'm Forest 0 - 2 Leeds
Nott'm Forest 0 - 1 Leeds
Nott'm Forest 2 - 0 Brest
Nott'm Forest 2 - 1 B. Leverkusen