Premier League Gameweek 3
Sep 5, 2026 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT MKM Stadium
  • Semi Ajayi 39' yellowcard
  • Lucas Gourna-Douath 67' yellowcard

Hull City vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Hull City

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Coventry 0 - 1 Hull City
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Semi Ajayi

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Aug 31, 2026 8.00pm
Aston Villa 0 - 1 Arsenal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.24%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest Hull City win was 2-1 (8.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result

Hull City 36.1% ▲ (+0.15)
Draw 25.03% ▲ (+0.06)
Aston Villa 38.85% ▼ (-0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.07% ▼ (-0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.71% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 22.29% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 55.51% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 44.49% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 33.34% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 3.5 66.66% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 4.5 19.72% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 4.5 80.28% ▲ (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Hull City 25.98%
Draw 42.38% ▲ (+0.11)
Aston Villa 31.65% ▼ (-0.09)

Team To Score First

Hull City 44.94% ▼ (-0.08)
No Goal 6.44% ▲ (+0.03)
Aston Villa 48.62% ▲ (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 54.74% ▲ (+0.10)
Equal 8 12.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 32.9% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 9 42.44% ▲ (+0.06)
Equal 9 12.3% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 9 45.26% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 10.5 31.29% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 10.5 68.71% ▼ (-0.05)

Hull City Goals

Over 1.5 38.72% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 61.28% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 16.81% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 83.19% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 5.96% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.04% ▼ (-0.02)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 72.23% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 0.5 27.77% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 1.5 40.99% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 1.5 59.01% ▲ (+0.20)
Over 2.5 17.9% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 2.5 82.1% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 3.5 6.79% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 93.21% ▲ (+0.08)

Score analysis

Hull City 36.1%
Draw 25.02%
Aston Villa 38.85%
Hull City
2-1 @ 8.04% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 7.58% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 5.2% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.8% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.96%
3-0 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 5.81% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 36.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.16% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.44% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.89%
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.02%
Aston Villa
1-2 @ 8.41% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 8.24% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.83% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.93% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 6.64% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 38.85%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 28
Jan 19, 2019 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Villa Park (Birmingham)
  • James Chester 45' goal
  • Conor Hourihane 45' yellowcard
  • Birkir Bjarnason 58' yellowcard
  • Tammy Abraham 64' goal
  • goal Jarrod Bowen 27'
  • goal Evandro 37'
  • yellowcard Kevin Stewart 40'
  • yellowcard Markus Henriksen 45'
  • yellowcard Jarrod Bowen 84'
Championship Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2018 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT KCOM Stadium (Hull)
  • Evandro 7' goal
  • goal Tommy Elphick 14'
  • goal Ahmed Elmohamady 70'
  • goal Alan Hutton 75'
  • yellowcard Alan Hutton 76'
  • yellowcard Birkir Bjarnason 89'
Championship
Mar 31, 2018 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sebastian Larsson 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robert Snodgrass 32'
  • yellowcard Lewis Grabban 81'
Championship
Aug 5, 2017 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Gabby Agbonlahor 7' goal
  • Henri Lansbury 17' yellowcard
  • Glenn Whelan 22' yellowcard
  • goal Jarrod Bowen 62'
Premier League
Feb 10, 2015 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Nikica Jelavic 22' goal
  • Dame N'Doye 74' goal
  • Michael Dawson 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alan Hutton 41'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Agbonlahor 56'
Premier League
Aug 31, 2014 1.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Gabriel Agbonlahor 14' goal
  • Andreas Weimann 36' goal
  • Brad Guzan 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Curtis Davies 42'
  • goal Nikica Jelavic 74'
  • yellowcard Nikica Jelavic 82'
  • yellowcard Ahmed Elmohamady 84'
  • yellowcard Stephen Quinn 87'

Build-up

News
Head to head
Predicted Lineups