Premier League Gameweek 3
Sep 5, 2026 5.30pm
MKM Stadium

Hull City vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hull City

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Coventry 0 - 1 Hull City
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Semi Ajayi

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Aug 31, 2026 8.00pm
Aston Villa 0 - 1 Arsenal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Aston Villa win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Hull City has a probability of 36.11% and a draw has a probability of 25.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aston Villa win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Hull City win is 2-1 (8.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.35%).

Result

Hull City 36.11% (-0.07)
Draw 25.47% (-0.04)
Aston Villa 38.45% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.35% (+0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.01% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 21.99% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 55.63% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 44.37% (-0.17)
Over 3.5 33.46% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 66.54% (-0.15)
Over 4.5 20.01% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 79.99% (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Hull City 24.94% (-0.05)
Draw 43.44% (-0.04)
Aston Villa 31.63% (+0.10)

Team To Score First

Hull City 44.42% (-0.08)
No Goal 6.38% (-0.05)
Aston Villa 49.2% (+0.13)

Corners

Over 8 50.2% (-0.13)
Equal 8 12.46% (+0.02)
Under 8 37.34% (+0.12)
Over 9 38.27% (-0.13)
Equal 9 11.92% (-0.01)
Under 9 49.8% (+0.13)
Over 10.5 27.82% (-0.13)
Under 10.5 72.18% (+0.13)

Hull City Goals

Over 1.5 39% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 61% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 17.08% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 82.92% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.17% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.83% (-0.02)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 72.41% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 27.59% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 41.01% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 58.99% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 17.89% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 82.11% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 7% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 93% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Hull City 36.12%
Draw 25.47%
Aston Villa 38.46%
Hull City
2-1 @ 8.16%
1-0 @ 7.53% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.14% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.76%
3-2 @ 2.94% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.7%
Other @ 5.89% (+0.01)
Total : 36.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.35% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.38% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.95% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 25.47%
Aston Villa
1-2 @ 8.35% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 8.13% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.88% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.74% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.97% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.67% (+0.03)
Other @ 6.72% (+0.06)
Total : 38.46%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 28
Jan 19, 2019 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Villa Park (Birmingham)
  • James Chester 45' goal
  • Conor Hourihane 45' yellowcard
  • Birkir Bjarnason 58' yellowcard
  • Tammy Abraham 64' goal
  • goal Jarrod Bowen 27'
  • goal Evandro 37'
  • yellowcard Kevin Stewart 40'
  • yellowcard Markus Henriksen 45'
  • yellowcard Jarrod Bowen 84'
Championship Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2018 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT KCOM Stadium (Hull)
  • Evandro 7' goal
  • goal Tommy Elphick 14'
  • goal Ahmed Elmohamady 70'
  • goal Alan Hutton 75'
  • yellowcard Alan Hutton 76'
  • yellowcard Birkir Bjarnason 89'
Championship
Mar 31, 2018 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sebastian Larsson 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robert Snodgrass 32'
  • yellowcard Lewis Grabban 81'
Championship
Aug 5, 2017 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Gabby Agbonlahor 7' goal
  • Henri Lansbury 17' yellowcard
  • Glenn Whelan 22' yellowcard
  • goal Jarrod Bowen 62'
Premier League
Feb 10, 2015 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Nikica Jelavic 22' goal
  • Dame N'Doye 74' goal
  • Michael Dawson 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alan Hutton 41'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Agbonlahor 56'
Premier League
Aug 31, 2014 1.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Gabriel Agbonlahor 14' goal
  • Andreas Weimann 36' goal
  • Brad Guzan 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Curtis Davies 42'
  • goal Nikica Jelavic 74'
  • yellowcard Nikica Jelavic 82'
  • yellowcard Ahmed Elmohamady 84'
  • yellowcard Stephen Quinn 87'