Premier League Gameweek 5
Sep 19, 2026 12.30pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
  • Jan Paul van Hecke 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Conor Gallagher 86' goal
  • Jan Paul van Hecke 90'+8' goal
  • yellowcard Nicolas Jackson 46'
  • goal Johan Manzambi  45'+4'
  • goal Nicolas Jackson 67'
  • goal Emiliano Buendía 79'
  • yellowcard Matty Cash 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Unai Emery 90'+3'

Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Tottenham Hotspur

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 5.30pm
Spurs 0 - 0 Everton
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Conor Gallagher

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
Aston Villa 1 - 2 Nott'm Forest
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Alysson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 37.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (5.32%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (8.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result

Tottenham Hotspur 37.85%
Draw 25.1% ▲ (+0.05)
Aston Villa 37.09%

Both Teams to Score: 

60.52%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.91% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 20.09% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 58.01% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 41.99% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 35.01% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 64.99% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 20.44% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 79.56% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Tottenham Hotspur 29.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 42.33% ▲ (+0.04)
Aston Villa 28.52% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Tottenham Hotspur 48.09% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 5.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Aston Villa 46.66% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 64.38%
Equal 8 10.62%
Under 8 24.99% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 9 52.97% ▲ (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.41%
Under 9 35.62%
Over 10.5 41.74% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 10.5 58.26% ▼ (-0.02)

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 1.5 41.84% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 58.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 18.53% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 81.47% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 6.34% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.66% ▲ (+0.01)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 72.79% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 27.21% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 41.36% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 58.64% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 17.92% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 82.08% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 6.35% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.65% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Tottenham Hotspur 37.85%
Draw 25.09%
Aston Villa 37.07%
Tottenham Hotspur
2-1 @ 8.55% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.45% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.32% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.12% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.07%
Other @ 6.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 37.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.36% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.48%
0-0 @ 5.25% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 25.09%
Aston Villa
1-2 @ 8.52% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.4% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.23%
1-3 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.86%
Other @ 6.14% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 37.07%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 35
May 3, 2026 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Villa Park
  • Ollie Watkins 60' yellowcard
  • Leon Bailey 85' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Buendía 85' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Buendía 90'+6' goal
  • goal Conor Gallagher 12'
  • goal Richarlison 25'
  • yellowcard Djed Spence 66'
  • yellowcard Yves Bissouma  67'
  • yellowcard Djed Spence 67'
  • yellowcard Lucas Bergvall 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Pape Matar Sarr 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Pape Matar Sarr 90'+2'
FA Cup
Jan 10, 2026 5.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
  • Randal Kolo 31' yellowcard
  • Wilson Odobert 54' goal
  • Dane Scarlett 78' yellowcard
  • Dominic Solanke 83' yellowcard
  • Djed Spence 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Youri Tielemans 9'
  • goal Emiliano Buendia 22'
  • goal Morgan Rogers 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Jadon Sancho 65'
  • yellowcard Ollie Watkins 65'
  • yellowcard Lucas Digne 78'
  • yellowcard Andres Garcia 79'
Premier League
Oct 19, 2025 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 37
May 16, 2025 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Villa Park
  • Matty Cash 23' yellowcard
  • Ezri Konsa 59' goal
  • Boubacar Kamara 73' goal
  • yellowcard Archie Gray 33'
  • yellowcard Mathys Tel 62'
FA Cup
Feb 9, 2025 5.35pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Villa Park
  • Jacob Ramsey 2' goal
  • Morgan Rogers 65' goal
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Bentancur 60'
  • yellowcard Lucas Bergvall 62'
  • yellowcard Pedro Porro 80'
  • goal Mathys Tel 90'+1'
Premier League Gameweek 10
Nov 3, 2024 2.00pm
4
1
HT : 0 1
FT Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
  • Brennan Johnson 49' goal
  • Pedro Porro 54' yellowcard
  • Cristian Romero 58' yellowcard
  • Dominic Solanke 75' goal
  • Dominic Solanke 79' goal
  • James Maddison 90'+6' goal
  • goal Morgan Rogers 32'

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