Premier League Gameweek 5
Sep 19, 2026 12.30pm
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Tottenham Hotspur

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 5.30pm
Spurs 0 - 0 Everton

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
Aston Villa 1 - 2 Nott'm Forest
Goals scored
1
Top scorer
Alysson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 37.88%. A win for Aston Villa has a probability of 37.02% and a draw has a probability of 25.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (5.32%). The likeliest Aston Villa win is 1-2 (8.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.35%).

Result

Tottenham Hotspur 37.88% (-5.31)
Draw 25.06% (+2.02)
Aston Villa 37.02% (+3.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.56% (-2.87)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.91% (-2.85)
Under 1.5 20.09% (+2.84)
Over 2.5 58.05% (-4.71)
Under 2.5 41.92% (+4.68)
Over 3.5 35.05% (-4.55)
Under 3.5 64.95% (+4.55)
Over 4.5 20.47% (-3.88)
Under 4.5 79.53% (+3.88)

First Half Winner

Tottenham Hotspur 29.16% (-3.25)
Draw 42.3% (+1.33)
Aston Villa 28.54% (+1.93)

Team To Score First

Tottenham Hotspur 48.09% (-5.53)
No Goal 5.23% (+0.83)
Aston Villa 46.68% (+4.71)

Corners

Over 8 64.38% (-0.86)
Equal 8 10.62% (-0.03)
Under 8 24.99% (+0.86)
Over 9 52.97% (-0.75)
Equal 9 11.41% (-0.11)
Under 9 35.62% (+0.85)
Over 10.5 41.74% (-0.58)
Under 10.5 58.26% (+0.58)

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 1.5 41.88% (-5.87)
Under 1.5 58.12% (+5.87)
Over 2.5 18.57% (-5.06)
Under 2.5 81.43% (+5.07)
Over 3.5 6.36% (-2.71)
Under 3.5 93.64% (+2.71)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 72.75% (+1.99)
Under 0.5 27.25% (-1.99)
Over 1.5 41.34% (+1.05)
Under 1.5 58.66% (-1.05)
Over 2.5 17.91% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 82.09% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 6.35% (-0.45)
Under 3.5 93.65% (+0.45)

Score analysis

Tottenham Hotspur 37.88%
Draw 25.06%
Aston Villa 37.02%
Tottenham Hotspur
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.57)
1-0 @ 7.44% (+0.57)
2-0 @ 5.32% (-0.30)
3-1 @ 4.13% (-1.05)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.80)
3-0 @ 3.07% (-0.52)
Other @ 6.15% (-2.64)
Total : 37.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.35% (+1.19)
2-2 @ 6.48% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 5.23% (+0.83)
3-3 @ 1.79% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.21% (-0.08)
Total : 25.06%
Aston Villa
1-2 @ 8.52% (+0.56)
0-1 @ 7.38% (+1.37)
0-2 @ 5.21% (+1.00)
1-3 @ 3.96% (+0.32)
2-3 @ 2.96%
0-3 @ 2.85% (+0.35)
Other @ 6.14% (-0.38)
Total : 37.02%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 35
May 3, 2026 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Villa Park
  • Ollie Watkins 60' yellowcard
  • Leon Bailey 85' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Buendía 85' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Buendía 90'+6' goal
  • goal Conor Gallagher 12'
  • goal Richarlison 25'
  • yellowcard Djed Spence 66'
  • yellowcard Yves Bissouma  67'
  • yellowcard Djed Spence 67'
  • yellowcard Lucas Bergvall 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Pape Matar Sarr 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Pape Matar Sarr 90'+2'
FA Cup
Jan 10, 2026 5.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
  • Randal Kolo 31' yellowcard
  • Wilson Odobert 54' goal
  • Dane Scarlett 78' yellowcard
  • Dominic Solanke 83' yellowcard
  • Djed Spence 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Youri Tielemans 9'
  • goal Emiliano Buendia 22'
  • goal Morgan Rogers 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Jadon Sancho 65'
  • yellowcard Ollie Watkins 65'
  • yellowcard Lucas Digne 78'
  • yellowcard Andres Garcia 79'
Premier League
Oct 19, 2025 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 37
May 16, 2025 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Villa Park
  • Matty Cash 23' yellowcard
  • Ezri Konsa 59' goal
  • Boubacar Kamara 73' goal
  • yellowcard Archie Gray 33'
  • yellowcard Mathys Tel 62'
FA Cup
Feb 9, 2025 5.35pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Villa Park
  • Jacob Ramsey 2' goal
  • Morgan Rogers 65' goal
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Bentancur 60'
  • yellowcard Lucas Bergvall 62'
  • yellowcard Pedro Porro 80'
  • goal Mathys Tel 90'+1'
Premier League Gameweek 10
Nov 3, 2024 2.00pm
4
1
HT : 0 1
FT Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
  • Brennan Johnson 49' goal
  • Pedro Porro 54' yellowcard
  • Cristian Romero 58' yellowcard
  • Dominic Solanke 75' goal
  • Dominic Solanke 79' goal
  • James Maddison 90'+6' goal
  • goal Morgan Rogers 32'