Champions League Gameweek 3
Oct 21, 2026 8.00pm
Villa Park

Aston Villa vs Viking FK - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 5.45pm
Brugge 2 - 3 Aston Villa

Viking FK

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 9, 2026 5.45pm
Stuttgart 3 - 1 Viking FK

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Viking FK win with a probability of 40%. A win for Aston Villa has a probability of 36.68% and a draw has a probability of 23.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Viking FK win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.25%) and 0-2 (5.07%). The likeliest Aston Villa win is 2-1 (7.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.09%).

Result

Aston Villa 36.68% ▼ (-0.90)
Draw 23.33% ▲ (+0.40)
Viking FK 40% ▲ (+0.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.28% ▲ (+0.68)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.9% ▲ (+0.86)
Under 1.5 17.1% ▼ (-0.86)
Over 2.5 62.78% ▲ (+1.24)
Under 2.5 37.18% ▼ (-1.28)
Over 3.5 41.17% ▲ (+0.57)
Under 3.5 58.83% ▼ (-0.57)
Over 4.5 26.06% ▲ (+0.75)
Under 4.5 73.94% ▼ (-0.75)

First Half Winner

Aston Villa 30.16% ▼ (-0.90)
Draw 38.13% ▲ (+0.99)
Viking FK 31.71% ▼ (-0.09)

Team To Score First

Aston Villa 46.66% ▼ (-0.94)
No Goal 4.4% ▼ (-0.07)
Viking FK 48.94% ▲ (+1.00)

Corners

Over 8 64.18% ▼ (-4.48)
Equal 8 9.74% ▼ (-0.48)
Under 8 26.08% ▲ (+4.95)
Over 9 53.74% ▼ (-3.54)
Equal 9 10.44% ▼ (-0.95)
Under 9 35.82% ▲ (+4.49)
Over 10.5 43.4% ▼ (-2.33)
Under 10.5 56.6% ▲ (+2.33)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 1.5 42.6% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 57.4% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 20.13% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 79.87% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 7.89% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 92.11% ▲ (+0.13)

Viking FK Goals

Over 0.5 73.96% ▲ (+0.85)
Under 0.5 26.04% ▼ (-0.86)
Over 1.5 45.94% ▲ (+1.61)
Under 1.5 54.06% ▼ (-1.61)
Over 2.5 22.96% ▲ (+1.32)
Under 2.5 77.04% ▼ (-1.31)
Over 3.5 9.88% ▲ (+0.75)
Under 3.5 90.12% ▼ (-0.75)

Score analysis

Aston Villa 36.69%
Draw 23.32%
Viking FK 39.99%
Aston Villa
2-1 @ 7.49% ▲ (+0.08)
1-0 @ 6.45% ▼ (-0.29)
2-0 @ 4.95% ▼ (-0.22)
3-1 @ 4.19% ▼ (-0.25)
3-2 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.12)
3-0 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 7.42% ▼ (-0.30)
Total : 36.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.09% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 6.5% ▲ (+0.14)
0-0 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.21)
Other @ 0.47% ▲ (+0.17)
Total : 23.32%
Viking FK
1-2 @ 8.04% ▲ (+0.17)
0-1 @ 6.25% ▼ (-0.54)
0-2 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.45)
Other @ 9.41% ▲ (+0.59)
Total : 39.99%

Build-up

News