Oct 17, 2026 5.30pm

St. James' Park

Newcastle United vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions

W
L
W
D
W
W

Premier League

W
L
D
W
D
L

Last game

Sep 19, 2026 3.00pm

Newcastle 2 - 1 Hull City

Goals scored

9

Top scorer

Anthony Elanga

Aston Villa

All competitions

D
W
W
L
W
D

Premier League

D
W
L
D
L
L

Last game

Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm

Aston Villa 2 - 2 Brentford

Goals scored

6

Top scorer

Nicolas Jackson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newcastle United win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Aston Villa has a probability of 34.31% and a draw has a probability of 26.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest Aston Villa win is 1-2 (8.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.97%).

Result

Newcastle United 39.27%

Draw 26.39%

Aston Villa 34.31%

Both Teams to Score:

59.06%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.99%

Under 1.5 22.01%

Over 2.5 55.11%

Under 2.5 44.89%

Over 3.5 32.23%

Under 3.5 67.77%

Over 4.5 18.47%

Under 4.5 81.53%

First Half Winner

Newcastle United 30.01%

Draw 40.96%

Aston Villa 29.02%

Team To Score First

Newcastle United 49.04%

No Goal 6.24%

Aston Villa 44.72%

Corners

Over 8 65.79%

Equal 8 11.09%

Under 8 23.12%

Over 9 53.66%

Equal 9 12.14%

Under 9 34.21%

Over 10.5 41.61%

Under 10.5 58.39%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 1.5 41.59%

Under 1.5 58.41%

Over 2.5 18.08%

Under 2.5 81.92%

Over 3.5 6.28%

Under 3.5 93.72%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 70.28%

Under 0.5 29.72%

Over 1.5 38.11%

Under 1.5 61.89%

Over 2.5 15.31%

Under 2.5 84.69%

Over 3.5 5.45%

Under 3.5 94.55%

Score analysis

Newcastle United 39.25%

Draw 26.38%

Aston Villa 34.31%

Newcastle United

2-1 @ 8.76%

1-0 @ 8.28%

2-0 @ 5.88%

3-1 @ 4.01%

3-0 @ 3.24%

3-2 @ 3.06%

Other @ 6.02%

Total : 39.25%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.97%

2-2 @ 6.42%

0-0 @ 6.24%

3-3 @ 1.49%

Other @ 0.26%

Total : 26.38%

Aston Villa

1-2 @ 8.27%

0-1 @ 7.43%

0-2 @ 5.05%

1-3 @ 3.33%

0-3 @ 2.59%

2-3 @ 2.45%

Other @ 5.19%

Total : 34.31%

Head to Head

Feb 14, 2026 5.45pm

1

3

HT : 1 0

FT Villa Park

Tammy Abraham 14'
Emiliano Martínez 45'+4'
Emiliano Buendía 65'
Ollie Watkins 65'
Ian Maatsen 77'
Jadon Sancho 78'

Sandro Tonali 63'
Anthony Elanga 63'
Anthony Gordon 63'
Sandro Tonali 76'
Joe Willock 80'
Nick Woltemade 88'
Alex Murphy 90'

Jan 25, 2026 2.00pm

0

2

HT : 0 1

FT St. James' Park

Jacob Ramsey 48'
Nick Woltemade 62'
Anthony Elanga 63'
Joe Willock 84'

Emiliano Buendía 19'
Leon Bailey 59'
Lamare Bogarde 74'
Tyrone Mings 75'
Lucas Digne 75'
Ollie Watkins 88'
Victor Lindelöf 89'

Aug 16, 2025 12.30pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Apr 19, 2025 5.30pm

4

1

HT : 1 1

FT Villa Park

Ollie Watkins 1'
Ian Maatsen 64'
Dan Burn 73'
Amadou Onana 75'
Jacob Ramsey 88'

Fabian Schar 13'
Fabian Schar 18'
Joelinton 41'
Bruno Guimaraes 63'

Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm

3

0

HT : 1 0

FT St. James' Park

Anthony Gordon 2'
Kieran Trippier 23'
Joelinton 45'
Alexander Isak 59'
Joelinton 90'+1'

Matty Cash 14'
Jhon Duran 32'

Jan 30, 2024 8.15pm

1

3

HT : 0 2

FT Villa Park

Boubacar Kamara 39'
Ollie Watkins 71'
Douglas Luiz 72'
John McGinn 77'
Nicolo Zaniolo 90'+5'

Fabian Schar 32'
Fabian Schar 36'
Alex Moreno 52' (OG)
Anthony Gordon 90'+4'

Form Data

Newcastle 2 - 1 Hull City

Leeds 4 - 1 Newcastle

Millwall 0 - 1 Newcastle

Newcastle 2 - 2 Bournemouth

Spurs 0 - 2 Newcastle

Newcastle 3 - 2 West Brom

Aston Villa 2 - 2 Brentford

Spurs 2 - 3 Aston Villa

Coventry 1 - 3 Aston Villa

Aston Villa 1 - 2 Nott'm Forest

Brugge 2 - 3 Aston Villa

Hull City 0 - 0 Aston Villa