Premier League Gameweek 5
Sep 19, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Joe Willock 3' goal
  • Lewis Hall 7' goal
  • Jacob Murphy 45'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matt Crooks 29'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Belloumi 39'
  • yellowcard Konstantinos Tzolakis 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Ryan Giles 49'
  • goal Mohamed-Ali Cho 67'
  • yellowcard Oli McBurnie 87'

Newcastle United vs Hull City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Sep 14, 2026 8.00pm
Leeds 4 - 1 Newcastle
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Anthony Elanga

Hull City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
Chelsea 2 - 2 Hull City
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Mohamed Belloumi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 47.29%. A draw had a probability of 26.64% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 26.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%) , while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result

Newcastle United 47.29% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 26.64% ▲ (+0.04)
Hull City 26.07% ▲ (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.27%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.59% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 27.41% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 49.02% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 50.98% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 27.51% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 72.49% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 15.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 84.57% ▲ (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Newcastle United 35.68%
Draw 40.64%
Hull City 23.68%

Team To Score First

Newcastle United 53.37% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 8.54% ▲ (+0.04)
Hull City 38.09% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 68.72%
Equal 8 10.33%
Under 8 20.95%
Over 9 57.17%
Equal 9 11.56%
Under 9 31.28%
Over 10.5 45.4%
Under 10.5 54.6%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 1.5 44.07% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 55.93% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 19.84% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 80.16% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 7.24% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 92.76% ▲ (+0.02)

Hull City Goals

Over 0.5 60.89% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 39.11% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 27.65% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 72.35% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 9.18% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 90.82% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 2.73% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.27% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Newcastle United 47.29%
Draw 26.64%
Hull City 26.07%
Newcastle United
1-0 @ 11.27% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.23% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.94% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.62% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.19% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 7.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 47.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.79%
0-0 @ 8.54% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.32%
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 26.64%
Hull City
0-1 @ 7.6% ▲ (+0.05)
1-2 @ 6.44%
0-2 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.15%
2-3 @ 1.74%
0-3 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 26.07%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Jul 27, 2024 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT KCOM Stadium
  • goal Alexander Isak 32'
  • goal Jacob Murphy 40'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 24, 2018 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Daniel Batty 41' goal
  • Evandro 61' goal
  • goal Joselu 15'
  • goal Ayoze Perez 86'
Nov 29, 2016 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Robert Snodgrass 45' yellowcard
  • Andrew Robertson 77' yellowcard
  • Tom Huddlestone 89' yellowcard
  • Dieumerci Mbokani 89' redcard
  • Robert Snodgrass 99' goal
  • yellowcard Isaac Hayden 63'
  • yellowcard Yoan Gouffran 67'
  • yellowcard Jamaal Lascelles 89'
  • goal Mohamed Diame 98'
Premier League
Jan 31, 2015 12.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • David Meyler 25' yellowcard
  • Ahmed Elmohamady 45' yellowcard
  • Andrew Robertson 64' yellowcard
  • Jake Livermore 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vurnon Anita 29'
  • goal Remy Cabella 40'
  • goal Sammy Ameobi 50'
  • goal Yoan Gouffran 78'
Premier League
Sep 20, 2014 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Fabricio Coloccini 52' yellowcard
  • Moussa Sissoko 59' yellowcard
  • Papiss Cisse 73' goal
  • Remy Cabella 73' yellowcard
  • Papiss Cisse 87' goal
  • Sammy Ameobi 94' yellowcard
  • goal Nikica Jelavic 48'
  • yellowcard Andrew Robertson 59'
  • goal Mohamed Diame 68'
  • yellowcard Sone Aluko 93'
Premier League
Mar 1, 2014 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Curtis Davies 46' goal
  • Nikica Jelavic 53' yellowcard
  • David Meyler 72' yellowcard
  • Tom Huddlestone 81' yellowcard
  • goal Moussa Sissoko 10'
  • yellowcard Chieck Tiote 28'
  • yellowcard Mapou Yanga-Mbiwa 35'
  • goal Loic Remy 42'
  • goal Moussa Sissoko 55'
  • goal Vurnon Anita 90'