Premier League Gameweek 5
Sep 19, 2026 3.00pm
St. James' Park

Newcastle United vs Hull City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Sep 14, 2026 8.00pm
Leeds 4 - 1 Newcastle
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Anthony Elanga

Hull City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
Chelsea 2 - 2 Hull City
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Mohamed Belloumi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newcastle United win with a probability of 47.36%. A draw has a probability of 26.57% and a win for Hull City has a probability of 26.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.79%) , while for a Hull City win it is 0-1 (7.56%).

Result

Newcastle United 47.36% (-1.40)
Draw 26.57% (+2.16)
Hull City 26.07% (-0.81)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.4% (-2.72)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.75% (-3.66)
Under 1.5 27.25% (+3.65)
Over 2.5 49.19% (-3.54)
Under 2.5 50.81% (+3.54)
Over 3.5 27.64% (-2.72)
Under 3.5 72.36% (+2.71)
Over 4.5 15.51% (-1.85)
Under 4.5 84.49% (+1.84)

First Half Winner

Newcastle United 35.67% (-0.24)
Draw 40.65% (-1.61)
Hull City 23.68% (+1.84)

Team To Score First

Newcastle United 53.42% (-2.24)
No Goal 8.46% (+1.93)
Hull City 38.12% (+0.33)

Corners

Over 8 68.79% (+8.45)
Equal 8 10.31% (-1.17)
Under 8 20.9% (-7.29)
Over 9 57.24% (+8.82)
Equal 9 11.55% (-0.38)
Under 9 31.21% (-8.44)
Over 10.5 45.48% (+8.41)
Under 10.5 54.52% (-8.41)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 1.5 44.2% (-2.61)
Under 1.5 55.8% (+2.61)
Over 2.5 19.92% (-1.92)
Under 2.5 80.08% (+1.93)
Over 3.5 7.27% (-0.81)
Under 3.5 92.73% (+0.80)

Hull City Goals

Over 0.5 60.97% (-1.83)
Under 0.5 39.03% (+1.83)
Over 1.5 27.73% (-1.88)
Under 1.5 72.27% (+1.87)
Over 2.5 9.21% (-0.89)
Under 2.5 90.79% (+0.90)
Over 3.5 2.73% (-0.32)
Under 3.5 97.27% (+0.32)

Score analysis

Newcastle United 47.36%
Draw 26.57%
Hull City 26.08%
Newcastle United
1-0 @ 11.24% (+1.00)
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.40)
2-0 @ 7.93% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 4.64% (-0.50)
3-0 @ 4.2% (-0.21)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.40)
Other @ 7.21% (-0.86)
Total : 47.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.79% (+0.21)
0-0 @ 8.46% (+1.93)
2-2 @ 5.34% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.06% (+0.05)
Total : 26.57%
Hull City
0-1 @ 7.56% (+0.72)
1-2 @ 6.45% (-0.34)
0-2 @ 3.84% (-0.26)
1-3 @ 2.16% (-0.38)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.25)
0-3 @ 1.64% (+0.08)
Other @ 2.67% (-0.36)
Total : 26.08%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Jul 27, 2024 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT KCOM Stadium
  • goal Alexander Isak 32'
  • goal Jacob Murphy 40'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 24, 2018 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Daniel Batty 41' goal
  • Evandro 61' goal
  • goal Joselu 15'
  • goal Ayoze Perez 86'
Nov 29, 2016 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Robert Snodgrass 45' yellowcard
  • Andrew Robertson 77' yellowcard
  • Tom Huddlestone 89' yellowcard
  • Dieumerci Mbokani 89' redcard
  • Robert Snodgrass 99' goal
  • yellowcard Isaac Hayden 63'
  • yellowcard Yoan Gouffran 67'
  • yellowcard Jamaal Lascelles 89'
  • goal Mohamed Diame 98'
Premier League
Jan 31, 2015 12.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • David Meyler 25' yellowcard
  • Ahmed Elmohamady 45' yellowcard
  • Andrew Robertson 64' yellowcard
  • Jake Livermore 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vurnon Anita 29'
  • goal Remy Cabella 40'
  • goal Sammy Ameobi 50'
  • goal Yoan Gouffran 78'
Premier League
Sep 20, 2014 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Fabricio Coloccini 52' yellowcard
  • Moussa Sissoko 59' yellowcard
  • Papiss Cisse 73' goal
  • Remy Cabella 73' yellowcard
  • Papiss Cisse 87' goal
  • Sammy Ameobi 94' yellowcard
  • goal Nikica Jelavic 48'
  • yellowcard Andrew Robertson 59'
  • goal Mohamed Diame 68'
  • yellowcard Sone Aluko 93'
Premier League
Mar 1, 2014 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Curtis Davies 46' goal
  • Nikica Jelavic 53' yellowcard
  • David Meyler 72' yellowcard
  • Tom Huddlestone 81' yellowcard
  • goal Moussa Sissoko 10'
  • yellowcard Chieck Tiote 28'
  • yellowcard Mapou Yanga-Mbiwa 35'
  • goal Loic Remy 42'
  • goal Moussa Sissoko 55'
  • goal Vurnon Anita 90'