Premier League Gameweek 4
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
Stamford Bridge

Chelsea vs Hull City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 4.30pm
Arsenal 2 - 1 Chelsea
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
João Pedro

Hull City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 5.30pm
Hull City 0 - 0 Aston Villa
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Semi Ajayi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chelsea win with a probability of 58.34%. A draw has a probability of 21.6% and a win for Hull City has a probability of 20.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.05%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.01%) , while for a Hull City win it is 1-2 (5.38%).

Result

Chelsea 58.34% (+0.25)
Draw 21.6% (-0.06)
Hull City 20.06% (-0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.88% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.47% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 20.53% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 57.77% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 42.23% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 35.22% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 64.78% (-0.24)
Over 4.5 21.86% (+0.20)
Under 4.5 78.14% (-0.21)

First Half Winner

Chelsea 44.96% (+0.07)
Draw 38.11% (-0.01)
Hull City 16.93% (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Chelsea 65.17% (-0.04)
No Goal 5.38% (-0.03)
Hull City 29.45% (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 64.18% (+0.09)
Equal 8 10.84% (-0.02)
Under 8 24.98% (-0.06)
Over 9 52.54% (+0.09)
Equal 9 11.64% (-0.02)
Under 9 35.82% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 41.11% (+0.11)
Under 10.5 58.89% (-0.11)

Chelsea Goals

Over 1.5 56.3% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 43.7% (-0.33)
Over 2.5 29.84% (+0.31)
Under 2.5 70.16% (-0.32)
Over 3.5 12.99% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 87.01% (-0.19)

Hull City Goals

Over 0.5 56.92% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 43.08% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 25.13% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 74.87% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 7.74% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 92.26% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 2.24% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.76% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Chelsea 58.34%
Draw 21.62%
Hull City 20.05%
Chelsea
2-1 @ 10.4%
1-0 @ 10.05% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 8.96%
3-1 @ 6.27% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 5.72% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.96% (+0.01)
Other @ 12.98% (+0.20)
Total : 58.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.01% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 5.38% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.32% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 21.62%
Hull City
1-2 @ 5.38% (-0.05)
0-1 @ 5.11% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 2.73% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.78% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.23% (-0.03)
Total : 20.05%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Feb 13, 2026 7.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT MKM Stadium
  • Joe Gelhardt 64' yellowcard
  • John Lundstram 64' yellowcard
  • Kyle Joseph 77' yellowcard
  • Cody Drameh 77' yellowcard
  • Kieran Dowell 80' yellowcard
  • goal Pedro Neto 40'
  • goal Pedro Neto 51'
  • goal Estevao Willian 59'
  • goal Estêvão 59'
  • yellowcard Enzo Fernandez 60'
  • yellowcard Enzo Fernández 60'
  • yellowcard Josh Acheampong 60'
  • yellowcard Josh Acheampong 61'
  • goal Pedro Neto 71'
  • yellowcard Jesse Derry 77'
  • yellowcard Estevao Willian 77'
  • yellowcard Tosin Adarabioyo 77'
  • yellowcard Shim Mheuka 88'
  • yellowcard Shumaira Mheuka 88'
FA Cup
Jan 25, 2020 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Eric Lichaj 63' yellowcard
  • Kamil Grosicki 78' goal
  • goal Michy Batshuayi 6'
  • yellowcard Mateo Kovacic 46'
  • goal Fikayo Tomori 64'
  • yellowcard Kurt Zouma 90'
FA Cup
Feb 16, 2018 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT
  • Willian 2' goal
  • Pedro 27' goal
  • Willian 32' goal
  • Olivier Giroud 42' goal
  • Kyle Scott 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Stewart 33'
  • yellowcard Jackson Irvine 86'
Premier League
Jan 22, 2017 4.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • N'Golo Kante 43' yellowcard
  • Diego Costa 45' goal
  • Gary Cahill 81' goal
  • yellowcard Michael Dawson 7'
  • yellowcard Curtis Davies 26'
  • yellowcard Andrew Robertson 52'
Premier League
Oct 1, 2016 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jake Livermore 42' yellowcard
  • Andrew Robertson 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Victor Moses 35'
  • yellowcard Nemanja Matic 41'
  • goal Willian 61'
  • goal Diego Costa 67'
Premier League
Mar 22, 2015 4.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Ahmed Elmohamady 26' goal
  • Abel Hernandez 28' goal
  • goal Eden Hazard 2'
  • goal Diego Costa 9'
  • yellowcard Gary Cahill 13'
  • goal Loic Remy 77'
  • yellowcard Nemanja Matic 89'