Champions League Gameweek 2
Oct 14, 2026 8.00pm
Villa Park

Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 5.45pm
Brugge 2 - 3 Aston Villa

Fenerbahce

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 55.58%. A win for Aston Villa has a probability of 22.23% and a draw has a probability of 22.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.55%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Aston Villa win is 2-1 (5.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.7%).

Result

Aston Villa 22.23% ▼ (-2.36)
Draw 22.12% ▲ (+1.17)
Fenerbahce 55.58% ▲ (+1.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.38% ▼ (-2.24)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.3% ▼ (-1.69)
Under 1.5 18.7% ▲ (+1.68)
Over 2.5 60.51% ▼ (-2.88)
Under 2.5 39.49% ▲ (+2.88)
Over 3.5 38.97% ▼ (-2.28)
Under 3.5 60.96% ▲ (+2.21)
Over 4.5 24.9% ▼ (-1.58)
Under 4.5 75.1% ▲ (+1.57)

First Half Winner

Aston Villa 18.17% ▼ (-3.26)
Draw 37.29% ▲ (+1.15)
Fenerbahce 44.54% ▲ (+2.11)

Team To Score First

Aston Villa 35.35% ▼ (-1.72)
No Goal 5% ▲ (+0.67)
Fenerbahce 59.65% ▲ (+1.05)

Corners

Over 8 54% ▼ (-5.43)
Equal 8 11.54% ▲ (+0.54)
Under 8 34.46% ▲ (+4.88)
Over 9 42.58% ▼ (-5.50)
Equal 9 11.42% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 9 46% ▲ (+5.43)
Over 10.5 32.18% ▼ (-5.12)
Under 10.5 67.82% ▲ (+5.12)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 1.5 28.68% ▼ (-2.79)
Under 1.5 71.32% ▲ (+2.79)
Over 2.5 10.46% ▼ (-2.20)
Under 2.5 89.54% ▲ (+2.21)
Over 3.5 3.23% ▼ (-0.98)
Under 3.5 96.77% ▲ (+0.98)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5 82.58% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 0.5 17.42% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 1.5 56.58% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 1.5 43.42% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 2.5 31.62% ▲ (+0.67)
Under 2.5 68.38% ▼ (-0.67)
Over 3.5 14.31% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 3.5 85.69% ▼ (-0.16)

Score analysis

Aston Villa 22.23%
Draw 22.12%
Fenerbahce 55.59%
Aston Villa
2-1 @ 5.5% ▼ (-0.38)
1-0 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.23)
2-0 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.50)
3-2 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.53)
3-0 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.9% ▼ (-1.06)
Total : 22.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.7% ▲ (+0.70)
2-2 @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.16)
0-0 @ 5% ▲ (+0.67)
3-3 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 0.33% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 22.12%
Fenerbahce
1-2 @ 9.09% ▼ (-0.83)
0-1 @ 8.55% ▲ (+0.73)
0-2 @ 8.11% ▲ (+0.53)
1-3 @ 6.19% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.68)
2-3 @ 4.12%
Other @ 13.98% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 55.59%

Head to Head

Europa League Gameweek 7
Jan 22, 2026 5.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium
  • Yiğit Efe Demir 56' yellowcard
  • Anderson Talisca 56' yellowcard
  • Talisca 56' yellowcard
  • Edson Alvarez 73' yellowcard
  • Edson Álvarez 73' yellowcard
  • goal Jadon Sancho 25'
  • yellowcard Ian Maatsen 75'
  • yellowcard Amadou Onana 75'
  • yellowcard Andres Garcia 75'
  • yellowcard Evann Guessand 75'
  • yellowcard Andrés García 75'
  • yellowcard George Hemmings 90'+2'
  • yellowcard George Lawrence Hemmings 90'+2'