Champions League Gameweek 1
Sep 10, 2026 5.45pm
Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium

Fenerbahce vs Roma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fenerbahce

All competitions

Roma

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 52.31%. A win for Roma has a probability of 24.54% and a draw has a probability of 23.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Roma win is 0-1 (6.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.7%).

Result

Fenerbahce 52.31% (-2.93)
Draw 23.15% (+0.30)
Roma 24.54% (+2.63)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.08% (+1.66)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.12% (+0.80)
Under 1.5 23.88% (-0.80)
Over 2.5 53.59% (+0.88)
Under 2.5 46.41% (-0.88)
Over 3.5 31.04% (+0.60)
Under 3.5 68.96% (-0.61)
Over 4.5 18.84% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 81.16% (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Fenerbahce 38.26%
Draw 40.27%
Roma 21.47%

Team To Score First

Fenerbahce 58.3% (+0.23)
No Goal 6.62% (-0.38)
Roma 35.08% (+0.15)

Corners

Over 8 46.99%
Equal 8 12.12%
Under 8 40.9%
Over 9 35.64%
Equal 9 11.35%
Under 9 53.01%
Over 10.5 25.86%
Under 10.5 74.14%

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 1.5 49.17% (-1.58)
Under 1.5 50.83% (+1.58)
Over 2.5 24.49% (-1.34)
Under 2.5 75.51% (+1.33)
Over 3.5 9.89% (-0.78)
Under 3.5 90.11% (+0.79)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5 59.18% (+3.15)
Under 0.5 40.82% (-3.15)
Over 1.5 27.15% (+2.85)
Under 1.5 72.85% (-2.86)
Over 2.5 9.47% (+1.44)
Under 2.5 90.53% (-1.43)
Over 3.5 3.01% (+0.52)
Under 3.5 96.99% (-0.53)

Score analysis

Fenerbahce 52.3%
Draw 23.15%
Roma 24.54%
Fenerbahce
1-0 @ 10.75% (-0.73)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 8.39% (-0.75)
3-0 @ 5.22% (-0.53)
3-1 @ 5.17% (-0.20)
3-2 @ 3.28% (+0.07)
Other @ 9.83% (-0.81)
Total : 52.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.7% (+0.24)
0-0 @ 6.62% (-0.38)
2-2 @ 4.84% (+0.33)
Other @ 0.06% (+0.02)
Total : 23.15%
Roma
0-1 @ 6.5% (+0.29)
1-2 @ 6.11% (+0.59)
0-2 @ 3.45% (+0.46)
1-3 @ 2.19% (+0.35)
2-3 @ 1.79% (+0.22)
0-3 @ 1.55% (+0.25)
Other @ 2.95% (+0.50)
Total : 24.54%