Champions League
Aug 26, 2026 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Groupama Stadium
  • Loïs Openda 51' yellowcard
  • Malick Fofana 61' goal
  • goal Vedat Muriqi 24'
  • goal Archie Brown 28'
  • yellowcard Milan Škriniar  32'
  • yellowcard Mattéo Guendouzi 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Dorgeles Nene  90'+5'

Lyon vs Fenerbahce - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Aug 18, 2026 8.00pm
Fenerbahce 1 - 1 Lyon

Fenerbahce

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Aug 18, 2026 8.00pm
Fenerbahce 1 - 1 Lyon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.25%) and 0-2 (5.1%). The likeliest Lyon win was 2-1 (7.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result

Lyon 36.39% ▲ (+1.18)
Draw 22.82% ▼ (-0.40)
Fenerbahce 40.76% ▼ (-0.82)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.23% ▲ (+0.46)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.54% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 16.46% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 64.5% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 2.5 35.5% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 3.5 42.17% ▼ (-0.51)
Under 3.5 57.83% ▲ (+0.51)
Over 4.5 26.88% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 4.5 73.12% ▲ (+0.36)

First Half Winner

Lyon 27.42% ▼ (-1.02)
Draw 41.24% ▲ (+1.40)
Fenerbahce 31.35% ▼ (-0.36)

Team To Score First

Lyon 45.86% ▲ (+0.25)
No Goal 4.16% ▼ (-0.08)
Fenerbahce 49.98% ▼ (-0.18)

Corners

Over 8 53.56% ▼ (-0.83)
Equal 8 10.86% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 8 35.59% ▲ (+0.75)
Over 9 42.84% ▼ (-0.84)
Equal 9 10.72% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 9 46.44% ▲ (+0.83)
Over 10.5 33.04% ▼ (-0.81)
Under 10.5 66.96% ▲ (+0.80)

Lyon Goals

Over 1.5 43.48% ▲ (+0.59)
Under 1.5 56.52% ▼ (-0.59)
Over 2.5 20.78% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 2.5 79.22% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 3.5 8% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 3.5 92% ▼ (-0.13)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5 74.98% ▼ (-0.62)
Under 0.5 25.02% ▲ (+0.63)
Over 1.5 47.34% ▼ (-1.03)
Under 1.5 52.66% ▲ (+1.03)
Over 2.5 23.62% ▼ (-0.74)
Under 2.5 76.38% ▲ (+0.74)
Over 3.5 9.78% ▼ (-0.44)
Under 3.5 90.22% ▲ (+0.43)

Score analysis

Lyon 36.39%
Draw 22.83%
Fenerbahce 40.76%
Lyon
2-1 @ 7.76% ▲ (+0.30)
1-0 @ 6.03% ▲ (+0.15)
2-0 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.21)
3-1 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.12)
3-0 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 7.48% ▲ (+0.20)
Total : 36.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.41% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.55% ▼ (-0.15)
0-0 @ 4.16% ▼ (-0.08)
3-3 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.52% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 22.83%
Fenerbahce
1-2 @ 8.5% ▼ (-0.14)
0-1 @ 6.25% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.15)
1-3 @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.11)
2-3 @ 3.86% ▼ (-0.13)
0-3 @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 9.26% ▼ (-0.36)
Total : 40.76%

Head to Head

Champions League
Aug 18, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium
  • Mason Greenwood 47' goal
  • N'Golo Kanté 81' yellowcard
  • Milan Škriniar  84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Abner 37'
  • goal Loïs Openda 40'
Europa League
Jan 23, 2025 5.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi
  • Irfan Kahveci 32' yellowcard
  • Yusuf Akcicek 64' yellowcard
  • Sofyan Amrabat 72' yellowcard
  • Bright Osayi-Samuel 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sael Kumbedi 31'
  • yellowcard Alexandre Lacazette 50'
  • yellowcard Moussa Niakhate 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Duje Caleta-Car 74'
  • yellowcard Corentin Tolisso 77'