Ligue 1 Gameweek 1
Aug 22, 2026 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium de Toulouse
  • Niklas Schmidt 31' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Noah Nartey 45'
  • goal Noah Nartey 68'
  • goal Malick Fofana 85'
  • yellowcard Tanner Tessmann 90'+4'

Toulouse vs Lyon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 8.00pm
Nantes 0 - 0 Toulouse

Lyon

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 8.00pm
Lyon 0 - 4 Lens
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Noah Nartey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (8.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result

Toulouse 35.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 26.04% ▲ (+0.04)
Lyon 38.81% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.67%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.38% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 24.62% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 51% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 49% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 28.7% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 71.3% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 15.5% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 84.5% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Toulouse 29.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 40.91%
Lyon 29.95% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Toulouse 45.86% ▼ (-0.03)
No Goal 6.79% ▲ (+0.03)
Lyon 47.35%

Corners

Over 8 54.38% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 8 12.32%
Under 8 33.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 9 42.14% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 9 12.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 45.62% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 10.5 31.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 10.5 68.96% ▼ (-0.03)

Toulouse Goals

Over 1.5 35.89% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 64.11% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 13.69%
Under 2.5 86.31%
Over 3.5 4.08%
Under 3.5 95.92%

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5 72.21% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 27.79% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 39.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 60.69% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 15.73% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 84.27% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 5.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.77% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Toulouse 35.14%
Draw 26.04%
Lyon 38.81%
Toulouse
1-0 @ 8.84%
2-1 @ 8.11%
2-0 @ 5.7%
3-1 @ 3.55%
3-2 @ 2.49%
3-0 @ 2.42%
Other @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 35.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 6.79% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.79%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 26.04%
Lyon
0-1 @ 8.98% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.88%
0-2 @ 6.42%
1-3 @ 3.86% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.89%
2-3 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 38.81%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 33
May 10, 2026 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadium de Toulouse
  • Dayann Methalie 10' goal
  • Warren Kamanzi 60' yellowcard
  • Pape Demba Diop 61' yellowcard
  • Emersonn 61' yellowcard
  • Warren Kamanzi 78' goal
  • Djibril Sidibé 82' yellowcard
  • Seny Koumbassa 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pavel Sulc 67'
  • goal Corentin Tolisso 71'
  • yellowcard Noah Nartey 83'
  • yellowcard Ernest Nuamah 83'
  • yellowcard Malick Fofana 89'
Ligue 1
Oct 5, 2025 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 18
Jan 18, 2025 8.05pm
0
0
HT : 0 1
FT Parc Olympique Lyonnais
  • goal Zakaria Aboukhlal 12'
  • yellowcard Sael Kumbedi 56'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 6
Sep 29, 2024 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Yann Gboho 14' goal
  • Yann Gboho 14' goal
  • Aron Donnum 58' yellowcard
  • Cristian Casseres Jr 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan Veretout 10'
  • goal Rasmus Nicolaisen 28' (OG)
  • yellowcard Duje Caleta-Car 48'
  • goal Malick Fofana 90'+5'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 26
Mar 15, 2024 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Stijn Spierings 43' yellowcard
  • Aron Donnum 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Thijs Dallinga 53' goal
  • Vincent Sierro 59' goal
  • goal Alexandre Lacazette 33'
  • yellowcard Corentin Tolisso 37'
  • yellowcard Clinton Mata 45'+1'
  • goal Rayan Cherki 77'
  • goal Jake O'Brien 81'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 15
Dec 10, 2023 4.05pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Parc Olympique Lyonnais
  • Alexandre Lacazette 25' goal
  • Alexandre Lacazette 29' goal
  • Mahamadou Diawara 68' yellowcard
  • Alexandre Lacazette 80' goal
  • Diego Moreira 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Frank Magri 25'
  • yellowcard Vincent Sierro 41'
  • yellowcard Aron Donnum 63'
  • yellowcard Moussa Diarra 79'