Ligue 1 Gameweek 1
Aug 22, 2026 7.45pm
Stadium de Toulouse

Toulouse vs Lyon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 8.00pm
Nantes 0 - 0 Toulouse

Lyon

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 8.00pm
Lyon 0 - 4 Lens

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lyon win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Toulouse has a probability of 35.1% and a draw has a probability of 26.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Toulouse win is 1-0 (8.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.27%).

Result

Toulouse 35.1% (+0.47)
Draw 26.01% (+0.02)
Lyon 38.89% (-0.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.71% (-0.65)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.44% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 24.56% (+0.28)
Over 2.5 51.04% (-0.40)
Under 2.5 48.96% (+0.40)
Over 3.5 28.75% (-0.79)
Under 3.5 71.25% (+0.79)
Over 4.5 15.54% (-0.75)
Under 4.5 84.46% (+0.74)

First Half Winner

Toulouse 29.13% (+1.08)
Draw 40.9% (-0.11)
Lyon 29.97% (-0.99)

Team To Score First

Toulouse 45.86% (+1.55)
No Goal 6.77% (+0.10)
Lyon 47.37% (-1.66)

Corners

Over 8 54.36% (+0.44)
Equal 8 12.31% (+0.37)
Under 8 33.33% (-0.81)
Over 9 42.12% (+0.02)
Equal 9 12.23% (+0.42)
Under 9 45.64% (-0.44)
Over 10.5 31.04% (-0.34)
Under 10.5 68.96% (+0.34)

Toulouse Goals

Over 1.5 35.86% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 64.14% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 13.67% (-0.28)
Under 2.5 86.33% (+0.29)
Over 3.5 4.07% (-0.23)
Under 3.5 95.93% (+0.24)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5 72.29% (-0.40)
Under 0.5 27.71% (+0.40)
Over 1.5 39.39% (-0.51)
Under 1.5 60.61% (+0.51)
Over 2.5 15.79% (-0.59)
Under 2.5 84.21% (+0.58)
Over 3.5 5.26% (-0.28)
Under 3.5 94.74% (+0.27)

Score analysis

Toulouse 35.1%
Draw 26.02%
Lyon 38.9%
Toulouse
1-0 @ 8.83% (+0.27)
2-1 @ 8.1% (+0.19)
2-0 @ 5.69% (+0.13)
3-1 @ 3.55% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.41% (+0.12)
Other @ 4.03% (-0.18)
Total : 35.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.27% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.77% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 5.79% (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.12)
Other @ 0.04% (-0.05)
Total : 26.02%
Lyon
0-1 @ 8.98% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 8.89% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 6.43% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.88% (-0.10)
0-3 @ 2.89% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.15)
Other @ 5.22% (-0.23)
Total : 38.9%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 33
May 10, 2026 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadium de Toulouse
  • Dayann Methalie 10' goal
  • Warren Kamanzi 60' yellowcard
  • Pape Demba Diop 61' yellowcard
  • Emersonn 61' yellowcard
  • Warren Kamanzi 78' goal
  • Djibril Sidibé 82' yellowcard
  • Seny Koumbassa 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pavel Sulc 67'
  • goal Corentin Tolisso 71'
  • yellowcard Noah Nartey 83'
  • yellowcard Ernest Nuamah 83'
  • yellowcard Malick Fofana 89'
Ligue 1
Oct 5, 2025 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 18
Jan 18, 2025 8.05pm
0
0
HT : 0 1
FT Parc Olympique Lyonnais
  • goal Zakaria Aboukhlal 12'
  • yellowcard Sael Kumbedi 56'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 6
Sep 29, 2024 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Yann Gboho 14' goal
  • Yann Gboho 14' goal
  • Aron Donnum 58' yellowcard
  • Cristian Casseres Jr 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan Veretout 10'
  • goal Rasmus Nicolaisen 28' (OG)
  • yellowcard Duje Caleta-Car 48'
  • goal Malick Fofana 90'+5'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 26
Mar 15, 2024 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Stijn Spierings 43' yellowcard
  • Aron Donnum 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Thijs Dallinga 53' goal
  • Vincent Sierro 59' goal
  • goal Alexandre Lacazette 33'
  • yellowcard Corentin Tolisso 37'
  • yellowcard Clinton Mata 45'+1'
  • goal Rayan Cherki 77'
  • goal Jake O'Brien 81'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 15
Dec 10, 2023 4.05pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Parc Olympique Lyonnais
  • Alexandre Lacazette 25' goal
  • Alexandre Lacazette 29' goal
  • Mahamadou Diawara 68' yellowcard
  • Alexandre Lacazette 80' goal
  • Diego Moreira 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Frank Magri 25'
  • yellowcard Vincent Sierro 41'
  • yellowcard Aron Donnum 63'
  • yellowcard Moussa Diarra 79'