Turkish Super Lig
Aug 30, 2026 7.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadyum Samsun
  • Thorsten Fink 25' yellowcard
  • goal Vedat Muriqi 3'
  • goal Oğuz Aydın 49'
  • yellowcard Romelu Lukaku 70'

Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Samsunspor

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 5.00pm
Caykur Rizespor 0 - 2 Samsunspor
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Fatih Kaya

Fenerbahce

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 7.30pm
Fenerbahce 4 - 2 Konyaspor
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Vedat Muriqi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 54.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.42% and a win for Samsunspor had a probability of 21.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (10.05%) and 0-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%) , while for a Samsunspor win it was 1-0 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result

Samsunspor 21.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 24.42% ▼ (-0.02)
Fenerbahce 54.31% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.48% ▲ (+0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.52% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 23.48% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 53.06% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 2.5 46.94% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 3.5 31.35% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 68.65% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 4.5 18.4% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 4.5 81.6% ▼ (-0.09)

First Half Winner

Samsunspor 21.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 38.85%
Fenerbahce 39.76% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Samsunspor 33.49% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 6.46% ▼ (-0.05)
Fenerbahce 60.05% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 62.24% ▲ (+0.15)
Equal 8 11.35%
Under 8 26.42% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 9 50.22% ▲ (+0.12)
Equal 9 12.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 37.76% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 10.5 38.63% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 10.5 61.36% ▼ (-0.11)

Samsunspor Goals

Over 1.5 25.43% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 74.57% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 7.74% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 92.26% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 2.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.9% ▼ (-0.01)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5 81.38% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 18.62% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 51.91% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 48.09% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 25.58% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 74.42% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 10.07% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 89.93% ▼ (-0.03)

Score analysis

Samsunspor 21.29%
Draw 24.42%
Fenerbahce 54.3%
Samsunspor
1-0 @ 6.21% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 5.54% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 21.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.18%
0-0 @ 6.46% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.47% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.42%
Fenerbahce
0-1 @ 10.82% ▼ (-0.04)
1-2 @ 10.05% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 9.16% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 5.23%
2-3 @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 9.92% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 54.3%

Head to Head

Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2026 5.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium
  • Mattéo Guendouzi 15' goal
  • Yiğit Efe Demir 61' yellowcard
  • İsmail Yüksek 61' yellowcard
  • Fred 75' yellowcard
  • Dorgeles Nene 75' yellowcard
  • Dorgeles Nene 89' goal
  • Sidiki Chérif 90'+5' goal
  • Oğuz Aydın 90'+11' yellowcard
  • goal Marius Mouandilmadji 11'
  • goal Marius Mouandilmadji 23'
  • yellowcard Toni Borevković 46'
  • yellowcard Elayis Tavsan 46'
  • yellowcard Cherif Ndiaye 79'
  • yellowcard Yalçın Kayan 84'
  • yellowcard Ali Badra Diabaté 89'
Turkish Super Lig
Oct 5, 2025 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 28
Mar 16, 2025 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi
  • Zeki Yavru 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marius Mouandilmadji 4'
  • yellowcard Celil Yuksel 12'
  • redcard Marius Mouandilmadji 75'
  • yellowcard Jose Mourinho 76'
  • yellowcard Okan Kocuk 79'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 9
Oct 20, 2024 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadyum Samsun
  • Thomas Reis 10' yellowcard
  • Lubomir Satka 13' yellowcard
  • Carlo Holse 48' goal
  • Rodrigo Becao 52' yellowcard
  • Emre Kilinc 55' yellowcard
  • Marc Bola 57' yellowcard
  • Soner Aydogdu 88' goal
  • Alexander Djiku 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Marius Mouandilmadji 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Filip Kostic 9'
  • yellowcard Olivier Ntcham 14'
  • goal Dusan Tadic 24'
  • yellowcard Fred 40'
  • goal Allan Saint-Maximin 62'
  • yellowcard Youssef Ait Bennasser 76'
  • yellowcard Irfan Kahveci 89'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 21
Jan 21, 2024 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi
  • Irfan Kahveci 12' goal
  • Mert Muldur 52' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marius Mouandilmadji 20'
  • goal Emre Kilinc 62'
  • yellowcard Okan Kocuk 84'
  • yellowcard Carlo Holse 90'+5'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 2
Aug 21, 2023 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadyum Samsun
  • Rick van Drongelen 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Edin Dzeko 62'
  • yellowcard Mert Muldur 90'+7'
  • goal Sebastian Szymanski 90'+8'