Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 33
May 9, 2026 6.00pm
Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu

Istanbul Basaksehir vs Samsunspor - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Istanbul Basaksehir

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
May 2, 2026 6.00pm
Fenerbahce 3 - 1 Istanbul
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Eldor Shomurodov

Samsunspor

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
May 2, 2026 6.00pm
Samsunspor 4 - 1 Galatasaray
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Marius Mouandilmadji

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Samsunspor has a probability of 28.26% and a draw has a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Samsunspor win is 1-2 (6.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.48%).

Result

Istanbul Basaksehir 46.41% (+0.01)
Draw 25.3% (+0.02)
Samsunspor 28.26% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.73%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.35% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 21.65% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 55.77% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 44.23% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 33.76% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 66.24% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 19.71% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 80.29% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Istanbul Basaksehir 38.05% (-0.02)
Draw 39.59% (-0.01)
Samsunspor 22.36% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Istanbul Basaksehir 57.74% (+0.03)
No Goal 5.86%
Samsunspor 36.4% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 51.11% (+0.11)
Equal 8 12.03%
Under 8 36.86% (-0.11)
Over 9 39.47% (+0.09)
Equal 9 11.64% (+0.01)
Under 9 48.89% (-0.11)
Over 10.5 29.13% (+0.08)
Under 10.5 70.87% (-0.07)

Istanbul Basaksehir Goals

Over 1.5 47.69% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 52.31% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 22.33% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 77.67% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.8%
Under 3.5 91.2%

Samsunspor Goals

Over 0.5 65.29% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 34.71% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 32.95% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 67.05% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 12.79% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 87.21% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 3.83% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.17% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Istanbul Basaksehir 46.42%
Draw 25.29%
Samsunspor 28.26%
Istanbul Basaksehir
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.28% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.21%
3-1 @ 4.88%
3-0 @ 3.85% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.22%
Other @ 8.48%
Total : 46.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.48%
2-2 @ 6.05%
0-0 @ 5.86%
3-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 25.29%
Samsunspor
1-2 @ 6.99% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.48% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.9% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.11%
2-3 @ 2.6%
0-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 3.51% (-0.02)
Total : 28.26%

Head to Head

Turkish Super Lig
Dec 14, 2025 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Thomas Reis 56' yellowcard
  • goal Eldor Shomurodov 66'
  • goal Bertug Yildirim 83'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 22
Feb 1, 2025 4.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu
  • Krzysztof Piatek 19' goal
  • Deniz Turuc 21' yellowcard
  • Miguel Crespo 31' yellowcard
  • Krzysztof Piatek 58' goal
  • Krzysztof Piatek 69' goal
  • Davidson 86' goal
  • yellowcard Rick van Drongelen 25'
  • yellowcard Yunus Cift 48'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 3
Sep 18, 2024 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadyum Samsun
  • Zeki Yavru 34' yellowcard
  • Marius Mouandilmadji 65' goal
  • Emre Kilinc 68' yellowcard
  • Rick van Drongelen 72' goal
  • Marius Mouandilmadji 76' yellowcard
  • Celil Yuksel 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Marc Bola 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leo Duarte 49'
  • yellowcard Berat Ozdemir 90'+6'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 28
Mar 3, 2024 10.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu
  • Danijel Aleksic 47' goal
  • redcard Marius Mouandilmadji 34'
  • yellowcard Taylan Antalyali 69'
  • yellowcard Osman Celik 76'
  • yellowcard Rick van Drongelen 83'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 9
Oct 22, 2023 5.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadyum Samsun
  • Emre Kilinc 41' yellowcard
  • Marius Mouandilmadji 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leo Dubois 51'
  • yellowcard Ousseynou Ba 82'