Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Samsunspor had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Samsunspor win was 1-2 (7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.