Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Samsunspor had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Samsunspor win was 1-0 (8.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.