Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 59.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.56% and a win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 17.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%) , while for a Kasimpasa win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.