Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 53.31%. A draw had a probability of 23.38% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 23.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.04%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%) , while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 1-2 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.