Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 52.13%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 24.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-2 (6.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.