Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Goztepe SK had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Goztepe SK win was 0-1 (8.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.