Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 50.52%. A win for Konyaspor had a probability of 24.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.1%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Konyaspor win was 0-1 (6.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.