Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 60.75%. A draw had a probability of 20.95% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 18.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.31%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%) , while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 1-0 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.