Turkish Cup
Mar 3, 2026 10.00am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Fethiye İlçe Stadyumu
  • Irfan Akgun 46' yellowcard
  • Ramazan Çevik 46' yellowcard
  • Melih Okutan 56' yellowcard
  • goal Barış Kalaycı 40'
  • goal Abdul Kader Moussa Kone 47'
  • yellowcard Tarık Buğra Kalpaklı 69'

Fethiyespor vs Fatih Karagumruk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fethiyespor

All competitions
Turkish Cup
Last game
Feb 3, 2026 5.30pm
Trabzonspor 3 - 0 Fethiyespor

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions
Turkish Cup
Last game
Feb 4, 2026 12.30pm
Karagumruk 1 - 4 Istanbul

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 53.27%. A win for Fethiyespor had a probability of 23.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Fethiyespor win was 1-0 (6.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result

Fethiyespor 23.86% ▲ (+3.88)
Draw 22.87% ▲ (+0.55)
Fatih Karagumruk 53.27% ▼ (-4.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.33% ▲ (+1.76)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.01% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 1.5 21.99% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 2.5 55.25% ▲ (+1.19)
Under 2.5 44.75% ▼ (-1.19)
Over 3.5 32.03% ▲ (+1.11)
Under 3.5 67.97% ▼ (-1.10)
Over 4.5 19.74% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 4.5 80.26% ▲ (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Fethiyespor 29.2% ▲ (+4.00)
Draw 40.81% ▲ (+0.50)
Fatih Karagumruk 29.98% ▼ (-4.50)

Team To Score First

Fethiyespor 44.53% ▲ (+6.61)
No Goal 5.84% ▼ (-0.11)
Fatih Karagumruk 49.63% ▼ (-6.50)

Corners

Over 8 55.78% ▲ (+3.88)
Equal 8 11.08% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 8 33.14% ▼ (-4.01)
Over 9 44.66% ▲ (+3.43)
Equal 9 11.12% ▲ (+0.44)
Under 9 44.22% ▼ (-3.88)
Over 10.5 34.37% ▲ (+2.79)
Under 10.5 65.63% ▼ (-2.80)

Fethiyespor Goals

Over 1.5 26.81% ▲ (+4.62)
Under 1.5 73.19% ▼ (-4.63)
Over 2.5 9.04% ▲ (+2.49)
Under 2.5 90.96% ▼ (-2.50)
Over 3.5 2.87% ▲ (+1.23)
Under 3.5 97.13% ▼ (-1.22)

Fatih Karagumruk Goals

Over 0.5 79.82% ▼ (-2.57)
Under 0.5 20.18% ▲ (+2.56)
Over 1.5 51.01% ▼ (-2.81)
Under 1.5 48.99% ▲ (+2.81)
Over 2.5 26.6% ▼ (-2.24)
Under 2.5 73.4% ▲ (+2.25)
Over 3.5 11.28% ▼ (-2.24)
Under 3.5 88.72% ▲ (+2.24)

Score analysis

Fethiyespor 23.87%
Draw 22.86%
Fatih Karagumruk 53.28%
Fethiyespor
1-0 @ 6.37% ▲ (+0.54)
2-1 @ 6.16% ▲ (+0.50)
2-0 @ 3.4% ▲ (+0.47)
3-1 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.58)
3-0 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.40)
3-2 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.20)
Other @ 2.79% ▲ (+1.22)
Total : 23.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.93% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.84% ▼ (-0.11)
2-2 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.54)
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 22.86%
Fatih Karagumruk
0-1 @ 9.79% ▼ (-0.83)
1-2 @ 9.58%
0-2 @ 8.41% ▼ (-1.31)
0-3 @ 5.7% ▼ (-0.80)
1-3 @ 5.38% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 3.22% ▲ (+0.63)
Other @ 11.2% ▼ (-2.24)
Total : 53.28%