Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Fenerbahce had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 24.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Fenerbahce win was 1-2 (8.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.