Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 69.42%. A draw had a probability of 19.51% and a win for Kocaelispor had a probability of 11.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.77%) and 3-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%) , while for a Kocaelispor win it was 0-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.