Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kocaelispor win with a probability of 45.93%. A draw had a probability of 27.85% and a win for Yeni Çarşı FK had a probability of 26.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kocaelispor win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.63%) and 1-2 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%) , while for a Yeni Çarşı FK win it was 1-0 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.