Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Kocaelispor had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.29%) and 0-2 (5.68%). The likeliest Kocaelispor win was 2-1 (8.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.