Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2026 6.00pm
İsmetpaşa Stadyumu

Kocaelispor vs Istanbul Basaksehir - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Kocaelispor

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Mar 18, 2026 1.00pm
Alanyaspor 5 - 0 Kocaelispor
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Serdar Dursun

Istanbul Basaksehir

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Mar 18, 2026 5.00pm
Istanbul 0 - 0 Antalyaspor
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Eldor Shomurodov

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Kocaelispor has a probability of 36.07% and a draw has a probability of 25.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (5.69%). The likeliest Kocaelispor win is 2-1 (8.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.56%).

Result

Kocaelispor 36.07% (+0.07)
Draw 25.47% (+0.05)
Istanbul Basaksehir 38.5%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.52% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.61% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 22.39% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 55.05% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 44.95% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 32.7% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 67.3% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 18.72% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 81.28% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Kocaelispor 28.61% (+0.02)
Draw 43.23% (-0.03)
Istanbul Basaksehir 28.16% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Kocaelispor 45.25% (-0.03)
No Goal 6.09% (+0.04)
Istanbul Basaksehir 48.66% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 53.6% (-0.05)
Equal 8 11.95% (+0.01)
Under 8 34.45% (+0.05)
Over 9 41.81% (-0.06)
Equal 9 11.79% (+0.01)
Under 9 46.4% (+0.05)
Over 10.5 31.15% (-0.07)
Under 10.5 68.85% (+0.06)

Kocaelispor Goals

Over 1.5 38.86%
Under 1.5 61.14%
Over 2.5 16.13% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 83.87% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.53% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.47% (+0.02)

Istanbul Basaksehir Goals

Over 0.5 72.78% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 27.22% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 40.78% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 59.22% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 17.53% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 82.47% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 6.24% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.76% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Kocaelispor 36.07%
Draw 25.47%
Istanbul Basaksehir 38.5%
Kocaelispor
2-1 @ 8.31% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.03% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 5.3% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.82% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.77%
3-0 @ 2.57% (-0.02)
Other @ 5.27% (-0.02)
Total : 36.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.56% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.09% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 25.47%
Istanbul Basaksehir
1-2 @ 8.67% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 8.31% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 5.69% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.05%
2-3 @ 3%
0-3 @ 2.8% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.98% (-0.02)
Total : 38.5%

Head to Head

Turkish Super Lig
Oct 31, 2025 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT