Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 1-0 (9.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.