Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 30
Apr 19, 2026 12.30pm
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu

Kasimpasa vs Alanyaspor - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kasimpasa

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 3.00pm
Goztepe SK 3 - 3 Kasimpasa
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Adrian Benedyczak

Alanyaspor

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Alanyaspor 1 - 1 Trabzonspor
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Guven Yalcin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 36.21%. A win for Alanyaspor has a probability of 33.29% and a draw has a probability of 30.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (6.98%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win is 0-1 (10.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 0-0 (13.03%).

Result

Kasimpasa 36.21% (-0.18)
Draw 30.53% (+0.09)
Alanyaspor 33.29% (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.02% (+0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 62.89% (+0.40)
Under 1.5 37.11% (-0.40)
Over 2.5 37.94% (+0.68)
Under 2.5 62.06% (-0.68)
Over 3.5 18.84% (+0.36)
Under 3.5 81.15% (-0.36)
Over 4.5 9.43% (+0.19)
Under 4.5 90.57% (-0.20)

First Half Winner

Kasimpasa 26.51% (+0.27)
Draw 43.73% (-0.09)
Alanyaspor 29.77% (-0.18)

Team To Score First

Kasimpasa 42.82% (+0.90)
No Goal 13.03% (+0.04)
Alanyaspor 44.15% (-0.95)

Corners

Over 8 45.86% (-0.71)
Equal 8 12.64% (+0.06)
Under 8 41.5% (+0.65)
Over 9 34.14% (-0.68)
Equal 9 11.72% (-0.02)
Under 9 54.14% (+0.71)
Over 10.5 24.18% (-0.61)
Under 10.5 75.82% (+0.60)

Kasimpasa Goals

Over 1.5 29.52% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 70.48% (-0.16)
Over 2.5 9.79% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 90.21% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 2.59% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 97.41% (-0.05)

Alanyaspor Goals

Over 0.5 61.59% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 38.41% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 28.93% (+0.56)
Under 1.5 71.07% (-0.56)
Over 2.5 10.65% (+0.46)
Under 2.5 89.35% (-0.46)
Over 3.5 3.29% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 96.71% (-0.18)

Score analysis

Kasimpasa 36.21%
Draw 30.54%
Alanyaspor 33.29%
Kasimpasa
1-0 @ 13.35% (-0.14)
2-1 @ 6.98%
2-0 @ 6.97% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 2.63% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 2.48% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.33% (-0.06)
Other @ 2.47% (-0.01)
Total : 36.21%
Draw
0-0 @ 13.03% (+0.04)
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.17)
2-2 @ 4.2% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.12% (+0.05)
Total : 30.54%
Alanyaspor
0-1 @ 10.77% (-0.29)
1-2 @ 7.22% (+0.15)
0-2 @ 5.53% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.74% (+0.10)
0-3 @ 2.28% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 3.17% (+0.13)
Total : 33.29%

Head to Head

Turkish Super Lig
Nov 23, 2025 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 28
Mar 15, 2025 1.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu
  • Mamadou Fall 30' goal
  • Haris Hajradinovic 36' goal
  • Mamadou Fall 56' yellowcard
  • Jhon Espinoza 72' yellowcard
  • goal Tonny Vilhena 38'
  • yellowcard Yusuf Ozdemir 49'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 9
Oct 20, 2024 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Kichijoin Park Stadium
  • Jure Balkovec 51' yellowcard
  • Fatih Aksoy 53' yellowcard
  • Loide Augusto 57' yellowcard
  • Sergio Cordova 66' goal
  • Florent Hadergjonaj 73' yellowcard
  • goal Mortadha Ben Ouannes 2'
  • yellowcard Cafu 24'
  • goal Josip Brekalo 34'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 24
Feb 4, 2024 1.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu
  • Gokhan Gul 36' goal
  • Mamadou Fall 59' goal
  • goal Jackson Porozo 28' (OG)
  • yellowcard Richard 53'
  • yellowcard Leroy Fer 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Furkan Bayir 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Jure Balkovec 90'+5'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 5
Sep 17, 2023 6.00pm
3
3
HT : 2 1
FT Bahcesehir Okullari Arena
  • Sergio Cordova 18' goal
  • Joao Novais 24' goal
  • Joao Novais 51' goal
  • goal Mamadou Fall 45'+2'
  • goal Aytac Kara 79'
  • goal Mortadha Ben Ouannes 87'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 36
May 30, 2023 6.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Oguz Aydin 49' goal
  • goal Papy Djilobodji 60'
  • goal Bengali-Fode Koita 65'
  • goal Mamadou Fall 78'