Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 36.37%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 30.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.01%) and 2-1 (7.01%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 0-1 (10.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.