NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 26
Mar 27, 2021 at 3pm UK
Ballymena Showgrounds

Ballymena
5 - 1
Dungannon

Kelly (5'), McElroy (16', 45+3'), Hume (43'), Kane (74' pen.)
Harpur (83')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Gallagher (62')
McGinty (35'), Mayse (75')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Dungannon Swifts.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 65.31%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 15.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 1-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-2 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawDungannon Swifts
65.31%19.11%15.58%
Both teams to score 56.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.34%37.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.1%59.9%
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.19%10.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.15%34.85%
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.88%37.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.09%73.91%
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 65.31%
    Dungannon Swifts 15.58%
    Draw 19.11%
Ballymena UnitedDrawDungannon Swifts
2-0 @ 9.93%
2-1 @ 9.84%
1-0 @ 8.93%
3-0 @ 7.37%
3-1 @ 7.3%
4-0 @ 4.1%
4-1 @ 4.06%
3-2 @ 3.62%
4-2 @ 2.01%
5-0 @ 1.82%
5-1 @ 1.81%
Other @ 4.53%
Total : 65.31%
1-1 @ 8.85%
2-2 @ 4.88%
0-0 @ 4.01%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.11%
1-2 @ 4.38%
0-1 @ 3.98%
0-2 @ 1.97%
2-3 @ 1.61%
1-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 15.58%