National League South | Gameweek 21
Dec 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Court Place Farm

Oxford City
2 - 2
Dulwich Hamlet

Lolas (28'), Harrison (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mills (34'), Porter (48')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Oxford City and Dulwich Hamlet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheshunt 1-2 Oxford City
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 5-1 Dulwich Hamlet
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 53.14%. A win for Dulwich Hamlet had a probability of 24.69% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Dulwich Hamlet win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Oxford CityDrawDulwich Hamlet
53.14% (0.76 0.76)22.16% (-0.172 -0.17)24.69% (-0.587 -0.59)
Both teams to score 60.99% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.55% (0.224 0.22)38.45% (-0.224 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.25% (0.23699999999999 0.24)60.74% (-0.235 -0.23)
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.43% (0.328 0.33)14.56% (-0.328 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.37% (0.628 0.63)42.62% (-0.627 -0.63)
Dulwich Hamlet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.39% (-0.331 -0.33)28.61% (0.332 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.58% (-0.415 -0.41)64.41% (0.416 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Oxford City 53.14%
    Dulwich Hamlet 24.69%
    Draw 22.15%
Oxford CityDrawDulwich Hamlet
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.03% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.73% (0.098 0.1)
3-1 @ 6.22% (0.093 0.09)
3-0 @ 4.97% (0.12 0.12)
3-2 @ 3.89% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.99% (0.078 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.39% (0.084 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.87% (0.032 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.043 0.04)
5-0 @ 0.92% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 53.14%
1-1 @ 10.04% (-0.090000000000002 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.06% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.17% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.15%
1-2 @ 6.29% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-1 @ 5.21% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.26% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.62% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.36% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 24.69%

Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Dulwich Hamlet
0-2
Oxford City
McEachran (66'), Iaciofano (69')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Dec 12, 2020 3pm