Ligue 2 | Gameweek 38
May 15, 2021 at 7pm UK
Stade Marcel Tribute
Toulouse

Dunkerque
3 - 3
Toulouse

Dudouit (33' pen.), Boudaud (49'), Tchokounte (73')
Maraval (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Healey (27', 79' pen., 87')
Sanna (32')
Regis Mvoue (68')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Dunkerque and Toulouse.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 45.59%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Dunkerque had a probability of 25.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.56%) and 1-2 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Dunkerque win it was 1-0 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
DunkerqueDrawToulouse
25.26%29.15%45.59%
Both teams to score 40.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.04%64.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.14%83.86%
Dunkerque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.27%42.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.94%79.06%
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.34%28.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.52%64.48%
Score Analysis
    Dunkerque 25.25%
    Toulouse 45.59%
    Draw 29.14%
DunkerqueDrawToulouse
1-0 @ 10.41%
2-1 @ 5.53%
2-0 @ 4.43%
3-1 @ 1.57%
3-0 @ 1.26%
3-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 25.25%
1-1 @ 13.01%
0-0 @ 12.24%
2-2 @ 3.46%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 29.14%
0-1 @ 15.3%
0-2 @ 9.56%
1-2 @ 8.13%
0-3 @ 3.98%
1-3 @ 3.39%
2-3 @ 1.44%
0-4 @ 1.24%
1-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 45.59%