Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 48.54%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Marseille win was 2-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%).
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 28.1% | 23.36% | 48.54% |
| Both teams to score 60.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.82% | 41.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.43% | 63.57% |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.46% | 27.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.95% | 63.05% |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.83% | 17.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.57% | 47.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| Marseille | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 6.93% 1-0 @ 6.1% 2-0 @ 3.93% 3-1 @ 2.98% 3-2 @ 2.62% 3-0 @ 1.69% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.89% Total : 28.1% | 1-1 @ 10.74% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 4.73% 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.35% | 1-2 @ 9.47% 0-1 @ 8.33% 0-2 @ 7.34% 1-3 @ 5.56% 0-3 @ 4.31% 2-3 @ 3.59% 1-4 @ 2.45% 0-4 @ 1.9% 2-4 @ 1.58% Other @ 4.02% Total : 48.54% |