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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Mar 3, 2021 at 6pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
Dijon

Brest
3 - 1
Dijon

Honorat (17'), Mounie (27'), Cardona (40')
Brassier (22'), Perraud (28'), Charbonnier (61')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Assale (29')
Ebimbe (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Dijon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 53.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Dijon had a probability of 22.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Dijon win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.

Result
BrestDrawDijon
53.68%23.76%22.56%
Both teams to score 52.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.14%47.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.96%70.04%
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.25%17.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.56%48.44%
Dijon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.41%35.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.64%72.36%
Score Analysis
    Brest 53.68%
    Dijon 22.56%
    Draw 23.76%
BrestDrawDijon
1-0 @ 10.92%
2-1 @ 9.75%
2-0 @ 9.44%
3-1 @ 5.62%
3-0 @ 5.44%
3-2 @ 2.9%
4-1 @ 2.43%
4-0 @ 2.35%
4-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 53.68%
1-1 @ 11.28%
0-0 @ 6.32%
2-2 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.76%
0-1 @ 6.53%
1-2 @ 5.83%
0-2 @ 3.37%
1-3 @ 2.01%
2-3 @ 1.74%
0-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 22.56%

How you voted: Brest vs Dijon

Brest
85.4%
Draw
12.2%
Dijon
2.4%
41