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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Sep 3, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield
2 - 0
River Plate

Aquino (22'), Castro (60')
Gomez (82'), Romero (86'), Florentin (90+3'), Gordillo (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Perez (49')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Independiente 2-1 Velez Sarsfield
Sunday, August 27 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawRiver Plate
31.2% (-0.202 -0.2) 26.93% (-0.38 -0.38) 41.87% (0.58 0.58)
Both teams to score 50.11% (1.06 1.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.08% (1.382 1.38)54.92% (-1.384 -1.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.79% (1.128 1.13)76.21% (-1.131 -1.13)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.62% (0.571 0.57)32.38% (-0.573 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.11% (0.64 0.64)68.89% (-0.64200000000001 -0.64)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.11% (0.94699999999999 0.95)25.89% (-0.949 -0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.12% (1.262 1.26)60.88% (-1.265 -1.27)
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 31.2%
    River Plate 41.86%
    Draw 26.93%
Velez SarsfieldDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 9.45% (-0.365 -0.37)
2-1 @ 7.2% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.33% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-1 @ 2.71% (0.055 0.06)
3-0 @ 2% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.83% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 31.2%
1-1 @ 12.77% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 8.38% (-0.461 -0.46)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.153 0.15)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.93%
0-1 @ 11.32% (-0.31 -0.31)
1-2 @ 8.63% (0.138 0.14)
0-2 @ 7.65% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.89% (0.163 0.16)
0-3 @ 3.45% (0.093 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.125 0.13)
1-4 @ 1.31% (0.089 0.09)
0-4 @ 1.16% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 41.86%

Head to Head
May 30, 2023 1.30am
Gameweek 18
Velez Sarsfield
2-2
River Plate
Pratto (52'), Ortega (86')
Godin (31'), Gianetti (48')
Rojas (26'), Beltran (82')
de la Cruz (43'), Solari (57'), Herrera (69')
Jul 18, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 8
Velez Sarsfield
2-2
River Plate
Bou (20' pen.), Osorio (90+4')
Beltran (7'), De la Cruz (30')
Jul 7, 2022 1.30am
Round of 16 2nd Leg
River Plate
0-0
Velez Sarsfield
Romero (53'), Mammana (90+3'), Alvarez (90+5')
Garayalde (33'), Hoyos (51')
Jun 30, 2022 1.30am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Velez Sarsfield
1-0
River Plate
Perrone (21'), Gomez (41'), Pratto (70'), Medina (71')
Diaz (18')
Aug 14, 2021 10pm
Second Phase
River Plate
2-0
Velez Sarsfield
Jeremias Fernandez (50'), Romero (90')
Casco (15'), Fontana (80'), Armani (90'), Romero (90+1')

Caseres (65')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS


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